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  5. Super Bowl Odds

2027 Super Bowl Odds

Live odds for every NFL team to win Super Bowl LXI, the championship of the 2026 season, read from Kalshi's 2027 NFL Champion market. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Washington Commanders share the lead at 99%, ahead of the Las Vegas Raiders (98%) and the New York Jets (98%). Super Bowl LXI is set for Sunday, Feb 14, 2027 in Inglewood.
Regular season · Week 3Updated today at 9:02 PM ET
Where these odds come from: Each percentage is the price of a Yes contract on that team in Kalshi's 2027 NFL Champion market, which pays $1 if the team wins Super Bowl LXI. A contract at 16¢ is the market pricing a 16% chance. Read from the middle of the order book, or from the last trade where the book is wide.
Biggest 7-day rise+98ppTampa Bay Buccaneers, 1% → 99%
Contracts traded389.6MOn the 2027 NFL Champion market
Live championship odds

Super Bowl LXI odds for all 32 teams

Every team is priced. 7d is the move in percentage points over the last seven days. Conference is the price on winning the AFC or NFC title; playoffs, on making the postseason.
Super Bowl LXI odds for all 32 teams
TeamSuper Bowl7dConferencePlayoffsTrade
1Tampa Bay Buccaneers0-299%+98pp3%7%Trade
2Washington Commanders0-299%0pp2%18%Trade
3Las Vegas Raiders2-098%+96pp3%24%Trade
4New York Jets1-198%+97pp99%3%Trade
5Tennessee Titans0-298%+97pp90%2%Trade
6Atlanta Falcons1-297%+93pp2%24%Trade
7Carolina Panthers1-197%+95pp2%50%Trade
8Los Angeles Chargers0-297%−1pp4%3%Trade
9New Orleans Saints1-197%−1pp1%49%Trade
10Philadelphia Eagles2-096%+92pp2%19%Trade
11San Francisco 49ers2-015%−1pp24%91%Yes 15¢
12Buffalo Bills2-014%+1pp24%91%Yes 14¢
13Chicago Bears1-114%+6pp20%55%Yes 14¢
14Jacksonville Jaguars1-110%+2pp18%70%Yes 10¢
15Kansas City Chiefs2-08%−1pp14%92%Yes 8¢
16Los Angeles Rams1-17%+1pp11%72%Yes 7¢
17Cincinnati Bengals2-06%0pp12%66%Yes 6¢
18Seattle Seahawks2-06%−2pp9%60%Yes 6¢
19Denver Broncos1-15%0pp10%63%Yes 5¢
20Detroit Lions1-15%0pp9%4%Yes 5¢
21Minnesota Vikings2-04%0pp7%79%Yes 4¢
22New England Patriots1-14%0pp9%44%Yes 4¢
23Green Bay Packers1-23%0pp5%40%Yes 4¢
24Dallas Cowboys1-13%−1pp4%45%Yes 4¢
25Miami Dolphins0-22%−96pp2%3%Trade
26Houston Texans0-22%0pp4%33%Yes 2¢
27New York Giants1-12%−2pp3%31%Yes 2¢
28Pittsburgh Steelers1-12%0pp5%35%Yes 2¢
29Arizona Cardinals1-11%−97pp4%3%Trade
30Baltimore Ravens1-11%−1pp1%4%Trade
31Cleveland Browns1-11%−98pp3%31%Trade
32Indianapolis Colts0-21%−98pp4%3%Trade
Last seven days

Super Bowl odds movers this week

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers gained the most, up 98 points to 99%. 11 teams gained a point or more over the last seven days and 12 lost one or more.
Rising
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers1% → 99%+98pp
  • New York Jets1% → 98%+97pp
  • Tennessee Titans1% → 98%+97pp
  • Las Vegas Raiders2% → 98%+96pp
  • Carolina Panthers2% → 97%+95pp
Falling
  • Cleveland Browns99% → 1%−98pp
  • Indianapolis Colts99% → 1%−98pp
  • Arizona Cardinals98% → 1%−97pp
  • Miami Dolphins98% → 2%−96pp
  • Seattle Seahawks8% → 6%−2pp
AFC vs. NFC

Super Bowl odds by conference

With the overlap in the prices taken out, AFC teams hold 41% of the title chance and NFC teams 59%. The market leans NFC.
AFC contenders
  • Las Vegas Raiders3% to win the AFC98%
  • New York Jets99% to win the AFC98%
  • Tennessee Titans90% to win the AFC98%
  • Los Angeles Chargers4% to win the AFC97%
  • Buffalo Bills24% to win the AFC14%
NFC contenders
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers3% to win the NFC99%
  • Washington Commanders2% to win the NFC99%
  • Atlanta Falcons2% to win the NFC97%
  • Carolina Panthers2% to win the NFC97%
  • New Orleans Saints1% to win the NFC97%
Reaching vs. winning

Conference price vs. Super Bowl price

A team has to win its conference before it can win the Super Bowl, so its title price over its conference price is the market’s chance it wins the game once it is there. The New York Jets rate best, at about 99%. The Pittsburgh Steelers rate lowest, at about 40%.
2026 season · As of Nov 8, 2026

NFL conference price vs. Super Bowl price

Price to win the Super Bowl →
-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%70%75%80%85%90%95%100%105%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%JetsNew York Jets99% to win the AFC98% to win the Super BowlAbout 99% to win the game once thereBearsChicago Bears20% to win the NFC14% to win the Super BowlAbout 70% to win the game once thereSeahawksSeattle Seahawks9% to win the NFC6% to win the Super BowlAbout 67% to win the game once thereLos Angeles Rams11% to win the NFC7% to win the Super BowlAbout 64% to win the game once thereSan Francisco 49ers24% to win the NFC15% to win the Super BowlAbout 63% to win the game once thereGreen Bay Packers5% to win the NFC3% to win the Super BowlAbout 60% to win the game once thereBuffalo Bills24% to win the AFC14% to win the Super BowlAbout 58% to win the game once thereKansas City Chiefs14% to win the AFC8% to win the Super BowlAbout 57% to win the game once thereMinnesota Vikings7% to win the NFC4% to win the Super BowlAbout 57% to win the game once thereJacksonville Jaguars18% to win the AFC10% to win the Super BowlAbout 56% to win the game once thereDetroit Lions9% to win the NFC5% to win the Super BowlAbout 56% to win the game once thereCincinnati Bengals12% to win the AFC6% to win the Super BowlAbout 50% to win the game once thereDenver Broncos10% to win the AFC5% to win the Super BowlAbout 50% to win the game once therePatriotsNew England Patriots9% to win the AFC4% to win the Super BowlAbout 44% to win the game once thereSteelersPittsburgh Steelers5% to win the AFC2% to win the Super BowlAbout 40% to win the game once there
Price to win the conference →
Swipe sideways to see the whole chart →
Surest in the Super BowlThe market’s chance each team wins the game once it gets there
  1. 1New York Jets99% in the game99% to get thereTrade
  2. 2Chicago Bears70% in the game20% to get thereYes 14¢
  3. 3Seattle Seahawks67% in the game9% to get thereYes 6¢
  4. 4Los Angeles Rams64% in the game11% to get thereYes 7¢
  5. 5San Francisco 49ers63% in the game24% to get thereYes 15¢
Shakiest in the Super BowlContenders the market expects to struggle against the other conference
  1. 1Pittsburgh Steelers40% in the game5% to get thereYes 2¢
  2. 2New England Patriots44% in the game9% to get thereYes 4¢
  3. 3Denver Broncos50% in the game10% to get thereYes 5¢
  4. 4Cincinnati Bengals50% in the game12% to get thereYes 6¢
  5. 5Detroit Lions56% in the game9% to get thereYes 5¢
The game

About Super Bowl LXI

Super Bowl LXI decides the champion of the 2026 NFL season. Super Bowl LXI is set for Sunday, Feb 14, 2027 in Inglewood.The field is set by the playoffs: seven teams from each conference qualify, and the AFC and NFC champions meet in the Super Bowl. That is why the conference column matters — a team has to win its conference to play for the title at all.The Seattle Seahawks are the defending champions, having won Super Bowl LX. Kalshi prices them at 6% to win it again.The board reflects the market in Week 3 of the regular season. Futures move most on results, injuries and trades, so the order can change sharply from one weekend to the next.
Method

How Kalshi's Super Bowl odds work

Every figure on this page is a live Kalshi market price. A contract on a team in the 2027 NFL Champion market pays $1 if that team wins Super Bowl LXI and nothing if it doesn't, so its price in cents reads directly as the market's implied chance in percent.The price is the middle of the order book when the book is tight, and the last trade when it is wide — a futures market on a 32-team field can go days without a trade, and a stale print is a worse read than a live quote. The board is ordered by the exact price rather than the rounded figure in the column, so two teams a fraction of a point apart keep their places between refreshes.Each team trades on its own order book, so the 32 prices can add up to a little more than 100%. Where this page compares groups of teams — the AFC against the NFC, or how many teams hold half the chance — it scales the board to 100% first.The conference column is a separate market: the price on a team winning the AFC or NFC, which is the same as reaching the Super Bowl. Reaching the game is a weaker claim than winning it, so a team’s conference price is normally the higher of its two numbers.The 7d column is the move in percentage points since the same time last week. Prices refresh every few minutes. They are market prices, not a forecast by Kalshi.
FAQ

Super Bowl odds questions

Who is the favorite to win Super Bowl LXI?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Washington Commanders share the lead at 99% in Kalshi's 2027 NFL Champion market, ahead of the Las Vegas Raiders (98%) and the New York Jets (98%). Those figures are live market prices and move with every trade.
When and where is Super Bowl LXI?
Super Bowl LXI is scheduled on Sunday, Feb 14, 2027 in Inglewood, closing the 2026 NFL season.
Who won the last Super Bowl?
The Seattle Seahawks won Super Bowl LX, closing the 2025 season.
How are Kalshi’s Super Bowl odds calculated?
They are market prices. Kalshi lists a contract on each team that pays $1 if that team wins Super Bowl LXI. Traders buy and sell those contracts, and the price — read from the middle of the order book, or the last trade when the book is wide — is the market’s implied chance in percent: a 16¢ contract is a 16% chance.
Whose Super Bowl odds moved the most this week?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers rose the most over the last seven days, from 1% to 99%.
How many teams have a real chance to win the Super Bowl?
The top six teams on the board hold half of the market's title chance between them, once the overlap in the prices is taken out. Every other team shares the remaining half.
Can you trade on the Super Bowl on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi's 2027 NFL Champion market lists a Yes/No contract on each team. A Yes contract pays $1 if that team wins Super Bowl LXI; a No contract pays $1 if it doesn't. Prices move as traders buy and sell, and trading on the market involves risk.
Related NFL pages

Continue exploring the league

The market these odds are read from, and the rest of Kalshi's NFL coverage.
Trade the 2027 NFL Champion marketNFL MVP oddsNFL power rankingsNFL playoff pictureNFL playoff oddsNFL playoff bracketNFL standingsNFL matchupsAll NFL markets
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Super Bowl market

2027 NFL Champion

Buy Yes if you think the team wins it. Buy No if you think it won't.
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers99%
    YesNo 99¢
  • Washington Commanders99%
    YesNo 99¢
  • Las Vegas Raiders98%
    YesNo 99¢
  • New York Jets98%
    YesNo 99¢
  • Tennessee Titans98%
    YesNo 99¢
    • Atlanta Falcons97%
      YesNo 99¢
    • Carolina Panthers97%
      YesNo 99¢
    • Los Angeles Chargers97%
      YesNo 99¢
    • New Orleans Saints97%
      YesNo 98¢
    • Philadelphia Eagles96%
      YesNo 99¢
    • San Francisco 49ers15%
      Yes 15¢No 86¢
    • Buffalo Bills14%
      Yes 14¢No 87¢
    • Chicago Bears14%
      Yes 14¢No 87¢
    • Jacksonville Jaguars10%
      Yes 10¢No 91¢
    • Kansas City Chiefs8%
      Yes 8¢No 93¢
    • Los Angeles Rams7%
      Yes 7¢No 94¢
    • Cincinnati Bengals6%
      Yes 6¢No 95¢
    • Seattle Seahawks6%
      Yes 6¢No 95¢
    • Denver Broncos5%
      Yes 5¢No 96¢
    • Detroit Lions5%
      Yes 5¢No 96¢
    • Minnesota Vikings4%
      Yes 4¢No 97¢
    • New England Patriots4%
      Yes 4¢No 97¢
    • Green Bay Packers3%
      Yes 4¢No 98¢
    • Dallas Cowboys3%
      Yes 4¢No 99¢
    • Miami Dolphins2%
      YesNo 97¢
    • Houston Texans2%
      Yes 2¢No 99¢
    • New York Giants2%
      Yes 2¢No 99¢
    • Pittsburgh Steelers2%
      Yes 2¢No 99¢
    • Arizona Cardinals1%
      YesNo 99¢
    • Baltimore Ravens1%
      YesNo
    • Cleveland Browns1%
      YesNo 99¢
    • Indianapolis Colts1%
      YesNo 99¢