NFL Playoff Odds 2026
The market-implied chance of all 32 teams to make the NFL playoffs in the 2026 season, from Kalshi's 2026 NFL playoff qualifiers market. Traders give Kansas City Chiefs 92%, Buffalo Bills 91% and San Francisco 49ers 91%.
Live marketUpdated today at 9:02 PM ET
Where these odds come from: Each figure is the market price of that team’s contract — the mid-market quote where the book is tight, otherwise the last trade. Prices are not a forecast from Kalshi; they are what traders are paying.
Live market prices
2026 NFL playoff odds by team
| Team | Playoffs | 7d | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 92% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Buffalo Bills | 91% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| San Francisco 49ers | 91% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Minnesota Vikings | 79% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Los Angeles Rams | 72% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 70% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 66% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Denver Broncos | 63% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Seattle Seahawks | 60% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Chicago Bears | 55% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Carolina Panthers | 50% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| New Orleans Saints | 49% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Dallas Cowboys | 45% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| New England Patriots | 44% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Green Bay Packers | 40% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 35% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Houston Texans | 33% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Cleveland Browns | 31% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| New York Giants | 31% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Atlanta Falcons | 24% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 24% | 0pp | Yes 97¢ |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 19% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Washington Commanders | 18% | 0pp | Yes 34¢ |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Baltimore Ravens | 4% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Detroit Lions | 4% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3% | 0pp | Yes 97¢ |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3% | −27pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 3% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Miami Dolphins | 3% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
| New York Jets | 3% | −6pp | Yes 96¢ |
| Tennessee Titans | 2% | 0pp | Yes 96¢ |
Method
How to read these NFL playoff odds
Every figure here is a live Kalshi price. Each team’s contract pays $1 if it makes the field and nothing if it doesn’t, so its price in cents reads as the percent chance traders give it.Fourteen teams make the NFL playoffs, seven from each conference: the four division winners and three wild cards.The board is ordered by that price, using the exact quote rather than the rounded figure shown, so two teams a hundredth of a point apart don’t swap places between refreshes.Each contract settles under its own market rules, which the market page links. Every row’s last column opens that market.
FAQ
NFL Playoff Odds questions
Which teams are most likely to make the NFL playoffs in the 2026 season?
Kalshi traders give Kansas City Chiefs 92%, Buffalo Bills 91% and San Francisco 49ers 91% to make the NFL playoffs. Those are market prices, not Kalshi forecasts.
How many teams make the NFL playoffs?
Fourteen, seven from each conference: the four division winners and three wild cards.
How are these NFL playoff odds calculated?
They are not calculated — they are prices. Each team’s contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and nothing if it doesn’t, so what traders pay for it reads as a percent chance. Where the bid and ask are close the page shows the midpoint; otherwise it shows the last trade.
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All 32 NFL teams
- Arizona Cardinals
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