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US Elections

Politics

Elections

Who will win the next presidential election?

Gavin Newsom
5.25x
Marco Rubio
5.25x
$15,373,509 vol24 markets
US Elections

Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?

Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
3.52x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.4x
$95,918,973 vol38 markets
Congress

How long will the next government shutdown last?

At least 55 days
1.73x
At least 50 days
1.65x
$6,180,569 vol12 markets
US Elections

North Carolina Senate winner?

Republican party
1.02x
Democratic party
93.5x
$32,833 vol2 markets
Tech & Science

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes
4.31x
No
1.22x
$1,166,513 vol1 market
Trump

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

Christopher Miller
1.02x
Joni Ernst
1.02x
$283,935 vol16 markets
US Elections

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party
1.01x
Republican Party
4.98x
$1,002,654 vol2 markets
International

Who will be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Andrew Tate
Andrew Tate
1.02x
Darren Jones
1.02x
$122,253 vol20 markets
International

Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel?

Benny Gantz
1.01x
Yossi Cohen
1.79x
$3,164 vol12 markets
Foreign Elections

Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?

Li Ganjie
1.83x
Chen Jining
1.02x
$903 vol14 markets
US Elections

Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
2.52x
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
3.40x
$49,976,177 vol30 markets
Trump

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

Yes
--
No
1.02x
$15,833 vol1 market
Trump

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

$0 / No Acquisition
1.20x
$900 billion to $1199 billion
13.4x
$281,730 vol8 markets
Trump

Who will Trump pardon?

Tou Thao
Tou Thao
1.86x
Julian Assange
Julian Assange
1.76x
$325,494 vol42 markets
International

Who will the next Pope be?

Matteo Zuppi
1.01x
Pierbattista Pizzaballa
1.20x
$51,565 vol7 markets
Trump

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Alina Habba
Alina Habba
1.03x
Jason Miller
Jason Miller
1.04x
$83 vol8 markets
Trump

Kristi Noem out as DHS Secretary?

Before Jul 1, 2026
1.67x
Before May 1, 2026
1.02x
$116,364 vol2 markets
International

Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?

Yes
--
No
93.5x
$1,140 vol1 market
US Elections

Texas Senate winner?

Republican party
Republican party
1.42x
James Talarico
James Talarico
2.89x
$177,958 vol2 markets
US Elections

Wyoming Senate winner?

Republican party
1.03x
Democratic party
93.5x
$31,160 vol2 markets
US Elections

West Virginia Senate winner?

Democratic party
1.03x
Republican party
1.03x
$33,753 vol2 markets
US Elections

Wisconsin Senate winner? (2028)

Democratic party
1.79x
Republican party
1.03x
$33,634 vol2 markets
US Elections

Washington Senate winner? (2028)

Democratic party
1.03x
Republican party
1.03x
$31,800 vol2 markets
US Elections

Vermont Senate winner? (2028)

Republican party
1.03x
Democratic party
93.5x
$40,616 vol2 markets