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Tech & Science

Big Tech & Business

AISep 13

Google market share this week

Above 17.6%

Above 21.1%

$100 vol7 more

Google market share this week

MarketPays outOdds

Above 17.6%

--

Above 21.1%

1.06x

Above 20.4%

1.06x

Above 18.4%

--

$100 vol5 more

1 of 3

EV market share in 2030?

Above 50%

--

Above 10%

--

$82,702 vol4 markets

Tesla

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2026?

Yes

1.01x

No

--

$20,408 vol1 market

Starship manned mission to Mars launched before 2030?

Yes

--

No

1.02x

$17,691 vol1 market

Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?

Yes

--

No

--

$13,102 vol1 market

NASA lands on the moon?

Before 2030

--

Before 2029

1.05x

$63,492 vol4 markets

xAI corporate adoption rate in September

Above 4.5%

--

Above 4.75%

--

$0 vol7 markets

Big Tech & Business

Where will Waymo operate this year?

Baltimore, MD

1.01x

Charlotte, NC

--

$91 vol18 markets

Top Text to Video AI this week

Alibaba

--

ByteDance

--

$0 vol10 markets

FDA decision: Venglustat by Sanofi (this year)

Yes

1.01x

No

1.01x

US test scores in Reading this year?

No significant difference

1.02x

Significant increase

1.01x

$59,005 vol3 markets

Will the US lose measles elimination status this year?

Yes

--

No

--

Number of US data centers at the end of 2026?

At least 5,300

--

At least 5,400

--

$9 vol17 markets

Most popular AI this week

Anthropic

--

DeepSeek

--

$0 vol7 markets

Most popular AI this week

Anthropic

--

DeepSeek

--

$0 vol7 markets

Top AI model in September?

claude-opus-4-7

--

claude-fable-5

--

$0 vol6 markets

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Zhipu AI

1.03x

Deepseek

--

$233,890 vol13 markets

Top 3 AI companies tomorrow?

Anthropic

--

Alibaba

--

$0 vol15 markets

OpenRouter AI token usage in September

Above 300T tokens

--

Above 400T tokens

--

$0 vol12 markets

Top AI model token usage tomorrow

Above 2.00T tokens

--

Above 2.50T tokens

--

$0 vol9 markets

OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 7–13

Above 110T tokens

--

Above 114T tokens

--

$0 vol9 markets

Tencent market share this week

Above 7%

--

Above 2.2%

--

$0 vol10 markets