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All markets
AI
Energy
Space

Tech & Science

Tech & Science

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes
4.31x
No
1.22x
$1,166,513 vol1 market
Tech & Science

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

Before 2030
2.73x
Before 2040
1.28x
$101,126 vol3 markets
Tech & Science

Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?

Yes
1.44x
No
1.16x
$18,923 vol1 market
Tech & Science

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

Yes
2.19x
No
1.01x
$15,117 vol1 market
Elon Musk

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2026?

Yes
4.31x
No
1.15x
$14,637 vol1 market
Elon Musk

Starship manned mission to Mars launched before 2030?

Yes
1.09x
No
1.16x
$15,050 vol1 market
AI

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.18x
$35,128 vol1 market
AI

Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?

Yes
1.02x
No
3.80x
$11,487 vol1 market
Space

NASA lands on the moon?

Before 2027
1.03x
Before 2028
1.03x
$62,626 vol2 markets
Tech & Science

US test scores in Reading this year?

No significant difference
1.03x
Significant increase
1.03x
$58,306 vol3 markets
AI

Top AI model this week?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking
31.2x
claude-opus-4-6
18.8x
$61,821 vol10 markets
AI

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI
1.65x
xAI
1.55x
$230,659 vol13 markets
AI

Best Coding AI this week

Kimi
--
ChatGPT
--
$0 vol8 markets
AI

Runner-Up AI this week

ChatGPT
--
Claude
--
$0 vol8 markets
Tech & Science

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.18x
$16,541 vol1 market
Elon Musk

SpaceX Starship 12th launch?

Before May 01
1.52x
Before April 01
1.02x
$13 vol3 markets
Elon Musk

How many launches will SpaceX have in March?

Above 13
--
Above 10
--
$0 vol7 markets
AI

What will the price of RTX PRO 6000 WS compute per hour reach by end of month?

Above $0.69
--
Above $0.70
--
$0 vol40 markets
AI

RTX 5090 Compute Price Up or Down: 03/06/26

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
AI

What will the price of RTX 5090 compute per hour reach by end of month?

Above $0.27
--
Above $0.28
--
$0 vol40 markets
AI

What will the price of RTX 5090 compute per hour reach by end of next month?

Above $0.27
--
Above $0.28
--
40 markets
Tech & Science

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?

Yes
1.33x
No
3.52x
$19,934 vol1 market
Energy

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

Yes
1.04x
No
1.18x
$4 vol1 market
Tech & Science

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

Before 2040
1.03x
Before 2030
1.03x
$5 vol4 markets