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Big Tech & Business

AIDec 31

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude

Gemini

$70,669,530 vol6 more

Best AI at the end of 2026?

MarketPays outOdds

Claude

1.73x

Gemini

3.08x

Grok

31.2x

LLaMA

93.5x

$70,669,530 vol4 more

1 of 3

Best AI this month?

LLaMA

1.40x

Claude

--

$418,598 vol7 markets

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

Above 10

1.18x

Above 11

--

$92 vol11 markets

Big Tech & Business

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

Yes

1.01x

No

1.01x

$18,844 vol1 market

Google market share this week

Above 19.1%

1.62x

Above 20.2%

1.02x

$2 vol9 markets

Anthropic share of spend tomorrow (Vercel)

Above 32.9%

1.23x

Above 31.0%

--

$3 vol9 markets

US test scores in Reading this year?

No significant difference

1.01x

Significant decrease

--

$59,007 vol3 markets

EV market share in 2030?

Above 20%

--

Above 10%

--

$88,570 vol4 markets

Tesla

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2026?

Yes

1.01x

No

--

$20,561 vol1 market

Starship manned mission to Mars launched before 2030?

Yes

--

No

1.02x

$17,691 vol1 market

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Yes

--

No

--

$45,781 vol1 market

Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?

Yes

--

No

1.05x

$13,104 vol1 market

NASA lands on the moon?

Before 2027

--

Before 2028

--

$63,518 vol4 markets

Z.AI share of spend tomorrow (Vercel)

Above 13.8%

--

Above 14.4%

--

$0 vol9 markets

Z.AI share of requests tomorrow (Vercel)

Above 10.3%

--

Above 10.7%

--

$0 vol9 markets

When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?

Before 2027

--

Before 2028

--

$0 vol6 markets

Big Tech & Business

Where will Waymo operate this year?

Charlotte, NC

--

Baltimore, MD

1.01x

$101 vol18 markets

Top Text to Video AI this week

Alibaba

--

ByteDance

--

$0 vol10 markets

Number of data centers in Virginia this year?

At least 680

--

At least 700

--

$0 vol6 markets

Will the US lose measles elimination status this year?

Yes

--

No

--

Number of US data centers at the end of 2026?

At least 5,300

--

At least 5,400

--

$9 vol17 markets

Number of data centers in Texas this year?

At least 540

--

At least 580

--

$0 vol6 markets