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All markets
AI
Energy
Space

AI

Elon Musk

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2026?

Yes
4.31x
No
1.14x
$14,637 vol1 market
AI

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.16x
$35,128 vol1 market
AI

Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?

Yes
1.02x
No
3.66x
$11,487 vol1 market
AI

Top AI model this week?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking
31.2x
claude-opus-4-6
18.8x
$61,821 vol10 markets
AI

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI
1.65x
xAI
1.55x
$230,659 vol13 markets
AI

Best Coding AI this week

ChatGPT
--
Claude
--
$0 vol8 markets
AI

Runner-Up AI this week

Claude
--
Dola
--
$0 vol8 markets
AI

What will the price of RTX PRO 6000 WS compute per hour reach by end of month?

Above $0.69
--
Above $0.70
--
$0 vol40 markets
AI

RTX 5090 Compute Price Up or Down: 03/06/26

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
AI

What will the price of RTX 5090 compute per hour reach by end of month?

Above $0.27
--
Above $0.28
--
$0 vol40 markets
AI

What will the price of RTX 5090 compute per hour reach by end of next month?

Above $0.27
--
Above $0.28
--
40 markets
AI

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

ChatGPT
1.03x
Claude
1.03x
$19 vol8 markets
AI

Best AI this week?

Gemini
1.76x
Qwen
--
$4,266 vol6 markets
AI

H200 Compute Price Up or Down: 03/06/26

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
AI

What will the price of H200 compute per hour reach by end of month?

Above $2.51
1.04x
Above $2.20
1.03x
$1 vol66 markets
AI

H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down: 03/06/26

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
AI

What will the price of H100 SXM reach by end of month?

1.260
--
1.280
--
$0 vol20 markets
AI

B200 Compute Price Up or Down: 03/06/26

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
AI

What will the price of B200 compute per hour reach by end of month?

Above $3.15
1.01x
Above $2.87
--
$1 vol72 markets
AI

AI capability growth this year?

At least 1550 score
1.03x
At least 1600 score
1.03x
$0 vol5 markets
Congress

Will AI regulation become law this year?

Yes
--
No
1.04x
$0 vol1 market
AI

A100 SXM4 Compute Price Up or Down: 03/06/26

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
AI

NVIDIA hi Compute Price Up or Down: Mar 19, 2026

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
AI

Price of NVIDIA A100 compute on Mar 31, 2026?

Above $0.95
--
Above $0.63
--
$0 vol40 markets