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All markets
AI
Big Tech & Business
Education
Energy
Market Share
Medicine
Physics & Math
Public Health
Space
Tokens
AI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude
1.93x
Gemini
2.52x
$70,567,175 vol8 markets
AI

DeepSeek share of requests today (Vercel)

LIVE
Above 11.4%
--
Above 10.2%
--
$14 vol9 markets
AI

OpenAI share of spend today (Vercel)

LIVE
Above 17.4%
--
Above 19.0%
--
$5 vol9 markets
AI

Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)

Gemini
--
DeepSeek
--
$5 vol8 markets
Market Share

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) today

Above 68.2%
1.25x
Above 63.8%
--
$40 vol9 markets
Tesla

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2026?

Yes
1.01x
No
--
$20,530 vol1 market
AI

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Yes
--
No
--
$45,781 vol1 market
AI

Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?

Yes
--
No
--
$13,104 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Where will Waymo operate this year?

Charlotte, NC
--
Baltimore, MD
1.01x
$101 vol18 markets
AI

Top Text to Video AI this week

Alibaba
1.03x
ByteDance
--
$0 vol10 markets
AI

Most popular AI this week

Anthropic
--
DeepSeek
--
$0 vol7 markets
AI

Top AI model this month

gemini-4-argon-high
--
claude-opus-5.5-high
--
$0 vol3 markets
AI

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Amazon
--
Anthropic
--
$0 vol34 markets
AI

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Zhipu AI
1.03x
Deepseek
--
$233,890 vol13 markets
Tokens

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

Above 450T tokens
--
Above 500T tokens
--
$5 vol12 markets
Tokens

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25

Above 156T tokens
--
Above 158T tokens
--
$0 vol17 markets
AI

Top Coding AI this week

LIVE
ChatGPT
--
Claude
--
$0 vol9 markets
AI

Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)

ChatGPT
--
Dola
--
$5 vol9 markets
AI

Top Coding AI this week

ChatGPT
--
Claude
--
$0 vol9 markets
AI

Top Text to Speech AI this week

Alibaba
--
Amazon
--
$0 vol17 markets
AI

Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?

Before Jan 1, 2028
--
Before Jan 1, 2029
--
$6 vol6 markets
Big Tech & Business

Which states will robotaxi be offered to this year?

Nevada
--
Arizona
--
$6 vol4 markets
AI

OpenAI share of requests today (Vercel)

LIVE
Above 22.3%
--
Above 22.9%
--
$41 vol9 markets
AI

Open source token share Oct 19–25 (OpenRouter)

Above 68%
--
Above 69%
--
$0 vol9 markets