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Congress
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Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Trump

Who will be Trump’s next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly
Anna Kelly
Anna Kelly
5.56x
Scott Jennings
Scott Jennings
Scott Jennings
7.25x
$9,824,873 vol62 markets
Trump

Who will Trump pardon?

Jeffery Williams
Jeffery Williams
Jeffery Williams
1.03x
Elizabeth Holmes
Elizabeth Holmes
Elizabeth Holmes
1.03x
$327,248 vol52 markets
Trump

Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump’s Presidency?

Before 2029
93.5x
Before Jan 1, 2027
--
$24,572 vol3 markets
Trump

Will Katie Zacharia take another Trump administration role?

Yes
--
No
1.01x
$0 vol1 market
Trump

When will Katie Zacharia deliver her next White House briefing?

LIVE
Before Nov 3, 2026
--
Before Oct 27, 2026
--
$0 vol2 markets
Trump

Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced?

Before Dec 1, 2026
--
Before Apr 1, 2027
--
$0 vol3 markets
Trump

Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?

Before Jul 1, 2027
--
Before Jan 1, 2027
--
$1 vol2 markets
Trump

Will the tariff on imported kitchen cabinets rise to 50%?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Trump

What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

G7
1.02x
World Bank Group
1.44x
$160,467 vol9 markets
Trump

Who will visit the White House before 2027?

Claudia Sheinbaum
1.02x
John Ternus
John Ternus
John Ternus
3.18x
$29 vol22 markets
Trump

Who will attend a White House Press Briefing this year?

Dan Bongino
1.02x
Benny Johnson
--
$13 vol9 markets
Trump

When will the White House announce an end to its press ban?

Before Nov 1, 2026
--
Before Apr 1, 2027
--
$0 vol4 markets
Trump

Will the White House announce a briefing room swimming pool?

Before Jan 1, 2027
--
Before Jan 1, 2028
--
$0 vol2 markets
Trump

Will another fraud whistleblower reward be announced this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Trump

How many U.S. visas will be revoked this year?

At least 150,000
--
At least 200,000
--
$10 vol6 markets
Trump

How many bills with Trump veto this year?

At least 2
3.08x
At least 1
--
$13 vol5 markets
Trump

Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend this year?

Rotavirus
1.04x
COVID-19
--
$7 vol6 markets
Trump

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

Before 2030
--
Before 2028
--
$15,974 vol3 markets
Trump

Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
Trump

Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?

Before Jan 1, 2027
--
Before Jan 1, 2028
--
$3 vol3 markets
Trump

Will the federal government start mining Bitcoin this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$13,129 vol1 market
Trump

Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom before 2027?

Elon Musk
1.03x
Kid Rock
1.03x
$48 vol9 markets
Trump

Which USMCA outcomes will occur this year?

Formal 16-year extension
--
Formal USMCA amendment
--
$8 vol8 markets
Trump

Will Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2026?

Yes
--
No
--
$20,189 vol1 market