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Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
US Elections

Trump

Tech & Science

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes
4.31x
No
1.22x
$1,166,513 vol1 market
Trump

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

Christopher Miller
1.02x
Joni Ernst
1.02x
$283,935 vol16 markets
Trump

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

Yes
--
No
1.02x
$15,833 vol1 market
Trump

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

$0 / No Acquisition
1.20x
$900 billion to $1199 billion
13.4x
$281,730 vol8 markets
Trump

Who will Trump pardon?

Tou Thao
Tou Thao
1.86x
Julian Assange
Julian Assange
1.76x
$325,494 vol42 markets
Trump

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Alina Habba
Alina Habba
1.03x
Jason Miller
Jason Miller
1.04x
$83 vol8 markets
Trump

Kristi Noem out as DHS Secretary?

Before Jul 1, 2026
1.67x
Before May 1, 2026
1.02x
$116,364 vol2 markets
International

What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

World Bank Group
1.44x
World Trade Organization
1.03x
$156,447 vol9 markets
Trump

Who will visit the White House before 2027?

Claudia Sheinbaum
1.02x
Dario Amodei
1.02x
$0 vol29 markets
Trump

Who will attend a White House Press Briefing this year?

Scott Bessent
1.03x
Dan Bongino
1.03x
$3 vol11 markets
Recurring

Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?

Yes / NoTBD
$0 vol1 market
Trump

How many bills with Trump veto this year?

At least 1
--
At least 2
--
$0 vol5 markets
Trump

Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend this year?

Rotavirus
1.04x
COVID-19
--
$1 vol6 markets
Trump

Will the federal government start mining Bitcoin this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$12,956 vol1 market
Trump

Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom before 2027?

Bill Belichick
1.03x
Dan Scavino
1.03x
$3 vol8 markets
Trump

Will Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2026?

Yes
--
No
--
$20,188 vol1 market
Trump

Who will join Trump's sovereign wealth fund before 2027?

Chamath Palihapitiya
1.03x
Bill Ackman
--
$30,152 vol2 markets
Trump

Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?

Yes
--
No
93.5x
$16,326 vol1 market
International

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 2027
1.44x
Before Jan 21, 2029
1.44x
$110 vol4 markets
Companies

Which companies will the US take a stake in before 2027?

Boeing
Boeing
1.02x
GlobalFoundries
1.02x
$0 vol17 markets
Trump

Will Trump release new UFO files before 2027?

Yes
1.02x
No
1.18x
$0 vol1 market
Trump

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

Before May 15, 2026
1.03x
Before 2027
--
$0 vol2 markets
Recurring

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (3/8-3/14)

100-119
--
120-139
--
$0 vol9 markets
Trump

Which UFC events will Trump attend?

Yes
1.02x
No
3.08x
$2,403 vol1 market