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Trump
US Elections

Congress

Congress

How long will the next government shutdown last?

At least 55 days
1.73x
At least 50 days
1.65x
$6,180,563 vol12 markets
Congress

How many ties will J.D. Vance break this year?

0
--
1
--
$0 vol10 markets
Congress

Which Senators will vote for Markwayne Mullin?

Angus King
--
Chuck Schumer
--
$0 vol10 markets
Congress

Which Senators will vote for the next Fed Chair nominee?

Maggie Hassan
1.02x
John Fetterman
--
$0 vol14 markets
Congress

Will Congress ever override Trump's veto?

Before Jan 20, 2029
--
Before 2027
--
$13,142 vol2 markets
Congress

House votes to block Venezuela deployment?

Before 2027
--
Before April
--
$0 vol2 markets
Congress

Congress banned from trading stocks next year?

Before 2027
--
Before Jan 21, 2029
--
$22,543 vol2 markets
Congress

Will new tariffs become law?

Before Apr 1, 2026
1.03x
Before Jul 1, 2026
1.03x
$0 vol3 markets
Congress

Will the House vote to ban members of Congress from trading stocks?

Before 2027
1.02x
Before July 2026
--
$0 vol2 markets
Congress

Will Mike Johnson no longer be Speaker of the House before 2026?

Before July 2026
--
Before Nov 3, 2026
--
$16,097 vol2 markets
Congress

US bans social media for children before 2027?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Congress

Will Trump restrict SNAP benefits?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.16x
$15,177 vol1 market
Congress

Who will win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?

Chuck Schumer
--
Brian Schatz
--
$0 vol13 markets
Congress

Who will be confirmed by the Senate before May?

Scott Bessent
Scott Bessent
1.03x
Casey Means
Casey Means
--
$0 vol10 markets
Congress

Will Chuck Schumer no longer be Senate Minority Leader this year?

Before July 2026
--
Before Nov 3, 2026
--
$17,720 vol2 markets
Congress

Which Senators will vote to advance the SAVE America Act?

Angus King
1.93x
Bill Cassidy
1.93x
$0 vol12 markets
Congress

Will the "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) become law?

Yes
1.10x
No
1.14x
$1,439,057 vol1 market
Congress

Will a Russian sanctions bill become law this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Congress

Will cannabis banking insurance protections become law before 2027?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Congress

Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.16x
$0 vol1 market
Congress

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.16x
$18,924 vol1 market
Congress

Will Nancy Mace resign before the midterms?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Congress

Will Don Bacon resign his office before the midterms?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Congress

How many reconciliation bills will be passed this year?

0
--
1
--
$0 vol3 markets