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All markets
Congress
Foreign Elections
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Trump

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.19x
Before Apr 1, 2027
1.08x
$317,351,883 vol5 markets
International

Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?

Yes
--
No
8.56x
$11,804 vol1 market
Iran

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Before Nov 1, 2026
9.41x
Before Dec 1, 2026
--
$2 vol6 markets
International

Will Zelenskyy and Putin talk during Trump’s term?

Vladimir Putin
2.89x
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.81x
$219 vol3 markets
International

When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?

Before 2030
--
Before 2027
--
$5 vol4 markets
International

Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?

Yes
--
No
--
$3 vol1 market
Trump

What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

G7
1.02x
World Bank Group
1.44x
$160,467 vol9 markets
International

Will Trump visit Greenland?

Before Jan 1, 2027
--
Before Jan 1, 2028
--
$3 vol3 markets
Trump

How many U.S. visas will be revoked this year?

At least 150,000
--
At least 200,000
--
$10 vol6 markets
International

Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?

ExxonMobil
1.05x
Shell
1.04x
$10 vol3 markets
International

Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Diosdado Cabello
--
Delcy Rodríguez
--
$8 vol8 markets
Trump

Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
International

Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty?

Yes
--
No
1.13x
$0 vol1 market
Trump

Which USMCA outcomes will occur this year?

Formal 16-year extension
--
Formal USMCA amendment
--
$8 vol8 markets
Iran

Will the U.S. and Iran hold a China-mediated meeting before Feb 1, 2027?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
International

Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands?

Yes
--
No
1.07x
$0 vol1 market
Trump

When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?

Before Apr 1, 2027
--
Before Dec 1, 2026
--
$0 vol4 markets
Trump

When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?

Before Apr 1, 2027
--
Before Dec 1, 2026
--
$0 vol4 markets
International

Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump’s term?

Yes
1.42x
No
--
$18,996 vol1 market
Trump

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 21, 2029
--
Before Jan 2027
--
$6,247 vol3 markets
International

Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?

Capital Gains Tax Rise
--
Council Tax Replacement
--
$0 vol5 markets
International

When will the UK’s social media ban take effect?

Before Apr 1, 2027
--
Before Jan 1, 2027
--
$3 vol3 markets
International

UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes

ROC recycle removal
--
Cancellation
--
$4 vol3 markets
International

Will Ukraine become an EU associate member this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$2 vol1 market