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Trending
Elections
Politics
Culture
Sports
Crypto
Commodities
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Finance
Tech & Science
Senate
House
Governor
Balance of Power
Live
Kalshi Forecast
Republicans
have a
53%
chance
to control the Senate
Early forecasts
· 70 days to Election
43
Democrats
Dem seats
51 to win
51
to win
Republicans
Rep seats
52
47 current
Democratic seats
53 current
Republican seats
Timeline
Live
Races by rating
Safe D
Likely D
Lean D
Toss-up
Lean R
Likely R
Safe R
Safe Democratic
Total 9
D
Colorado
99%
D
Georgia
92%
D
Kansas
96%
D
Massachusetts
99%
D
North Carolina
93%
D
Nebraska
96%
D
South Dakota
96%
D
Tennessee
96%
D
Wyoming
98%
Likely Democratic
Total 0
No races
Lean Democratic
Total 0
No races
Toss-up
Total 5
Dem 3
Rep 2
R
Iowa
55%
D
Maine
58%
D
Michigan
56%
D
Ohio
52%
R
Texas
53%
Lean Republican
Total 1
R
Alabama
72%
Likely Republican
Total 3
R
Florida
87%
R
South Carolina
83%
R
West Virginia
90%
Safe Republican
Total 17
R
Alaska
96%
R
Arkansas
96%
R
Delaware
99%
R
Idaho
96%
R
Illinois
99%
R
Kentucky
96%
R
Louisiana
98%
R
Minnesota
96%
R
Mississippi
96%
R
Montana
95%
R
New Hampshire
93%
R
New Jersey
96%
R
New Mexico
96%
R
Oklahoma
96%
R
Oregon
96%
R
Rhode Island
99%
R
Virginia
96%
Rating changes · Past month
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Peru
Referendums
2026 Midterms
Trending
Frequency
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Peru
Referendums
Combos
Senate
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
49
2
%
48
2
%
$11,127 vol
15 markets
Senate
Which Senate race will be the closest next year?
Florida
1
%
Kansas
1
%
$60 vol
17 markets
Senate
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)
48
51
%
56
33
%
$53 vol
14 markets
Senate
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
45
1
%
46
1
%
$30 vol
10 markets
Senate
Maine-Texas Senate Combo
Ken Paxton and Troy Jackson
1
%
Ken Paxton and Susan Collins
1
%
$18 vol
6 markets
US Elections
How many Republican senators will lose reelection this year?
Exactly 2
2
%
5 or more
2
%
$18 vol
6 markets
Senate
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection this year?
Exactly 0
3
%
Exactly 1
3
%
$18 vol
6 markets
Senate
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
Above 57
1
%
Below 53
1
%
$15 vol
7 markets
Senate
Texas Senate: Exact outcome
Cornyn defeats Talarico
2
%
Paxton defeats Talarico
2
%
$13 vol
4 markets
Senate
Maine Senate Exact Outcome
Graham Platner wins
1
%
Republican defeats Graham Platner
1
%
$12 vol
4 markets
Show all 10 markets
More markets
132 events
Market
Pays out
Odds
Mayor
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
$196,106,381 vol
Karen Bass
1.52
x
64
%
Nithya Raman
2.59
x
37
%
Other US Elections
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner
$2 vol
Bo French
--
2
%
Jon Rosenthal
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Texas House of Representatives winner
$2 vol
Democratic Party
--
2
%
Republican Party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Minnesota State House winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Arizona State House winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Iowa State House winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Alaska State House winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Georgia State Senate winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Michigan State Senate winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Texas State Senate winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Nevada State Assembly winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Ohio State Senate winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Florida State House winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Nevada State Senate winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
New Hampshire State Senate winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Michigan State House winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Wisconsin State Assembly winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Maine State House winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Alaska State Senate winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Ohio State House winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
North Carolina State House winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Florida State Senate winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Iowa State Senate winner?
$2 vol
Democratic party
--
2
%
Republican party
--
2
%
Other US Elections
Arizona State Senate winner?
$2 vol
Republican party
3.08
x
2
%
Democratic party
--
2
%
Most traded
Texas
D
James Talarico
Talarico
R
Republican party
Republican
2%
98%
DEM
D 2%
REP
R 98%
Georgia
D
Democratic party
Democrat
*
R
Republican party
Republican
90%
10%
DEM
D 90%
REP
R 10%
Ohio
D
Democratic party
Democrat
R
Republican party
Republican
*
51%
49%
DEM
D 51%
REP
R 49%
Maine
D
Democratic party
Democrat
R
Republican party
Republican
*
60%
40%
DEM
D 60%
REP
R 40%
Iowa
D
Democratic party
Democrat
R
Republican party
Republican
46%
54%
DEM
D 46%
REP
R 54%
North Carolina
D
Roy Cooper
Cooper
R
Michael Whatley
Whatley
91%
9%
DEM
D 91%
REP
R 9%
Kansas
D
Democratic party
Democrat
R
Republican party
Republican
*
43%
57%
DEM
D 43%
REP
R 57%
South Carolina
D
Democratic party
Democrat
R
Republican party
Republican
5%
95%
DEM
D 5%
REP
R 95%
Kentucky
D
Democratic party
Democrat
R
Republican party
Republican
57%
43%
DEM
D 57%
REP
R 43%
Michigan
D
Democratic party
Democrat
R
Republican party
Republican
55%
45%
DEM
D 55%
REP
R 45%
Alabama
D
Democratic party
Democrat
R
Republican party
Republican
5%
95%
DEM
D 5%
REP
R 95%
Virginia
D
Democratic party
Democrat
*
R
Republican party
Republican
50%
50%
DEM
D 50%
REP
R 50%
Idaho
D
Democratic party
Democrat
R
Republican party
Republican
*
50%
50%
DEM
D 50%
REP
R 50%
New Mexico
D
Democratic party
Democrat
*
R
Republican party
Republican
50%
50%
DEM
D 50%
REP
R 50%
Minnesota
D
Democratic (DFL) party
Democrat
R
Republican party
Republican
50%
50%
DEM
D 50%
REP
R 50%
Tennessee
D
Democratic party
Democrat
R
Republican party
Republican
*
33%
67%
DEM
D 33%
REP
R 67%
West Virginia
D
Democratic party
Democrat
R
Republican party
Republican
*
71%
29%
DEM
D 71%
REP
R 29%
New Hampshire
D
Democratic party
Democrat
R
Republican party
Republican
64%
36%
DEM
D 64%
REP
R 36%
Delaware
D
Democratic party
Democrat
*
R
Republican party
Republican
5%
95%
DEM
D 5%
REP
R 95%
South Dakota
D
Democratic party
Democrat
R
Republican party
Republican
*
20%
80%
DEM
D 20%
REP
R 80%
1–5 of 35
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