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Elections

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All markets
US Elections
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Peru

2028

2028

Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?

Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
5.25x
James Talarico
93.5x
$4,687,495,535 vol45 markets
2028

Who will win the next presidential election?

J.D. Vance
5.56x
Marco Rubio
5.56x
$447,441,760 vol30 markets
2028

Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
2.40x
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
3.18x
$383,188,973 vol38 markets
2028

Who will be the Democratic VP nominee in 2028?

Josh Shapiro
13.4x
J.B. Pritzker
1.03x
$334,324 vol45 markets
2028

2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

Democratic Sweep
1.40x
R-House, D-Senate, R-President
1.42x
$154,744 vol8 markets
2028

2028 popular vote margin of victory?

Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99%
--
Democratic by 0.01% to 0.99%
--
$0 vol20 markets
2028

Who will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028?

Marco Rubio
1.02x
Donald J. Trump
1.02x
$1,231,681 vol21 markets
2028

When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?

Before Apr 1, 2027
--
Before Oct 1, 2027
--
$0 vol4 markets
2028

Will Rubio and Vance run for President?

Yes
--
No
1.97x
$0 vol1 market
2028

Will Trump run for a third term?

Before 2028
1.03x
Before Election Day
1.03x
$4 vol3 markets
2028

Will a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.01x
$10,800 vol1 market
2028

When will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?

Before Jul 1, 2027
--
Before Oct 1, 2027
--
$0 vol4 markets
2028

2028 Republican Presidential ticket

Donald Trump Jr. and Marco Rubio
--
Glenn Youngkin and Marco Rubio
--
$0 vol25 markets
2028

2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)

Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
1.02x
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
$39,493 vol2 markets
2028

Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?

Democratic party
--
Republican party
--
$2 vol2 markets
2028

2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance
--
JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear
--
$0 vol32 markets
2028

2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee

Dave Smith
--
Gary Johnson
--
$0 vol11 markets
2028

2028 Green Presidential nominee

Butch Ware
--
Dashaun “Daví” Davis
--
$0 vol6 markets
2028

2028 Presidential matchup

Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio
--
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and JD Vance
--
$10 vol16 markets
2028

Will the 2028 presidential election occur?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.02x
$0 vol1 market
2028

When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?

Before Jul 1, 2027
--
Before Oct 1, 2027
--
$0 vol4 markets
2028

What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?

Iowa
1.03x
Nevada
1.03x
$64,180 vol12 markets
2028

2028 Democratic Presidential ticket

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ruben Gallego
--
Gavin Newsom and Elissa Slotkin
--
$0 vol25 markets
2028

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)

Andy Beshear
--
Mark Kelly
1.93x
$0 vol33 markets