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Elections

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2026 Midterms

All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Peru
Referendums
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Peru
Referendums
SenateHouseGovernorBalance of Power
LiveKalshi Forecast

Democrats favored to hold 16 seats, Republicans favored to hold 33 seats, with 1 toss-up

Early forecasts · 70 days to Election
16Democrats
Republicans33
24 current Democratic seats26 current Republican seats
Timeline
Live

Races by rating

Safe Democratic

Total 9
DAlaska98%DAlabama97%DCalifornia97%DFlorida97%DIowa97%DIdaho97%DMinnesota97%DOregon97%DPennsylvania91%

Likely Democratic

Total 1
DWisconsin79%

Lean Democratic

Total 0
No races

Toss-up

Total 1Dem 0Rep 1
ROhio51%

Lean Republican

Total 1
RNevada62%

Likely Republican

Total 0
No races

Safe Republican

Total 24
RArkansas97%RArizona97%RColorado97%RConnecticut97%RGeorgia97%RHawaii97%RIllinois97%RKansas97%RMassachusetts99%RMaryland98%RMaine97%RMichigan97%RNebraska97%RNew Hampshire98%RNew Mexico97%RNew York97%ROklahoma99%RRhode Island97%RSouth Carolina99%RSouth Dakota97%RTennessee99%RTexas90%RVermont97%RWyoming99%

More markets

132 events
MarketPays outOdds
Mayor

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

$196,106,381 vol
Karen Bass
1.52x
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
2.59x
Other US Elections

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

$2 vol
Bo French
--
Jon Rosenthal
--
Other US Elections

Texas House of Representatives winner

$2 vol
Democratic Party
--
Republican Party
--
Other US Elections

Minnesota State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Michigan State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Georgia State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

North Carolina State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Maine State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Alaska State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Ohio State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Georgia State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Alaska State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Nevada State Assembly winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
--
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

North Carolina State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Michigan State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Iowa State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Florida State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
--
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Arizona State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
3.08x
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Other US Elections

Texas State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
--
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

New Hampshire State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Florida State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
--
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Wisconsin State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Minnesota State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Maine State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--

Combos

Governor Combos

Closest Governor race this year?

Iowa
Kansas
$227 vol14 markets
Governor

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Republican Party
Tie
$46 vol3 markets
Governor Combos

How many Governors will lose reelection this year?

Exactly 0
Exactly 1
$19 vol6 markets
Governor Combos

Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?

Yes
No
$3 vol1 market
Texas
D
Gina HinojosaHinojosa
R
Greg AbbottAbbott*
13%
87%
Ohio
D
Amy ActonActon
R
Vivek RamaswamyRamaswamy
50%
50%
Michigan
D
Democratic partyDemocrat
R
Republican partyRepublican
50%
50%
New York
D
Kathy HochulHochul*
R
Bruce BlakemanBlakeman
50%
50%
Idaho
D
Terri PickensPickens
R
Brad LittleLittle*
40%
60%
Maine
D
Hannah PingreePingree
R
Robert CharlesCharles
50%
50%
Illinois
D
JB PritzkerPritzker*
R
Darren BaileyBailey
75%
25%
Hawaii
D
Democratic partyDemocrat*
R
Republican partyRepublican
50%
50%
Alabama
D
Doug JonesJones
R
Tommy TubervilleTuberville
97%
3%
Pennsylvania
D
Josh ShapiroShapiro*
R
Stacy GarrityGarrity
18%
82%
Connecticut
D
Democratic partyDemocrat*
R
Republican partyRepublican
50%
50%
Kansas
D
Democratic partyDemocrat
R
Republican partyRepublican
50%
50%
New Mexico
D
Deb HaalandHaaland
R
Greggory D. HullHull
50%
50%
Georgia
D
Keisha Lance BottomsBottoms
R
Rick JacksonJackson
50%
50%
Nevada
D
Aaron FordFord
R
Joe LombardoLombardo*
38%
62%
Maryland
D
Wes MooreMoore*
R
Dan CoxCox
50%
50%
Massachusetts
D
Democratic partyDemocrat*
R
Republican partyRepublican
50%
50%
Florida
D
Democratic partyDemocrat
R
Republican partyRepublican
40%
60%
New Hampshire
D
Democratic partyDemocrat
R
Republican partyRepublican*
67%
33%
Wisconsin
D
Democratic partyDemocrat
R
Republican partyRepublican
76%
24%
1–5 of 36
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