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2026 Midterms
Trending
Frequency
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Peru
Referendums
2026 Midterms
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power.
Learn more
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Peru
Referendums
Key races
All
Texas Senate winner?
Nov 3
Talarico
67%
Republican
33%
Maine Senate winner?
Nov 3
Democrat
64%
Republican
36%
Ohio Senate winner? (Special)
Nov 3
Democrat
69%
Republican
31%
Michigan Senate winner?
Nov 3
Democrat
68%
Republican
32%
Who will win the governorship in Texas?
Nov 3
Hinojosa
32%
Abbott
68%
Kansas Senate winner?
Nov 3
Democrat
39%
Republican
61%
Iowa Senate winner?
Nov 3
Democrat
43%
Republican
57%
MT-01 House winner?
Nov 3
Democrat
32%
Republican
68%
Who will win the governorship in Georgia?
Nov 3
Bottoms
60%
Jackson
40%
Alaska Senate winner? (Party)
Nov 3
Democrat
73%
Republican
27%
Who will win the governorship in Nevada?
Nov 3
Ford
53%
Lombardo
47%
PA-08 House winner?
Nov 3
Democrat
96%
Republican
4%
Senate
House
Governor
States
Balance of Power
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power.
Learn more
Combos
Democrats
have a
68% chance
to control the Senate
Senate forecast
Democrats
have a
92% chance
to control the House
House forecast
Democrats
have a
90% chance
of winning the 2028 Presidential Election
Presidential forecast
US Elections
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
D-House, D-Senate
69
%
D-House, R-Senate
23
%
$64,825,063 vol
4 markets
Senate
Blue wave next year?
Yes
83
%
No
17
%
$54,517 vol
1 market
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
At least 1
1
%
At least 2
1
%
$69 vol
8 markets
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year?
4
26
%
Above 5
1
%
$27 vol
7 markets
Mixed Combos
Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race this year?
Yes
90
%
No
10
%
$1 vol
1 market
Texas Elections
Texas Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
0
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
0
%
$0 vol
4 markets
House
2026: Trump’s dream year?
Yes
90
%
No
10
%
$207 vol
1 market
House
2026: Trump’s nightmare case?
Yes
90
%
No
10
%
$51 vol
1 market
House Combos
Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
Yes
0
%
No
0
%
$0 vol
1 market
Senate
Red wave this year?
Yes
90
%
No
10
%
$1 vol
1 market
Ohio Elections
Ohio Governor-Senate combo
Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win
1
%
Amy Acton and Jon Husted win
1
%
$4 vol
4 markets
New Hampshire Elections
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
2
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
2
%
$4 vol
4 markets
Nebraska Elections
Nebraska Governor-Senate combo
Lynne Walz and Dan Osborn win
51
%
Lynne Walz and Pete Ricketts win
51
%
$0 vol
4 markets
Mixed Combos
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress this year?
At least 25
2
%
At least 50
2
%
$121,688 vol
10 markets
Senate
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
1
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
1
%
$4 vol
4 markets
Maine Elections
Maine Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
1
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
1
%
$12 vol
4 markets
Senate
Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
Yes
50
%
No
0
%
$0 vol
1 market
Kansas Elections
Kansas Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
1
%
Republican Governor, Democratic Senator
1
%
$12 vol
4 markets
Iowa Elections
Iowa Governor-Senate combo
Rob Sand and Josh Turek win
32
%
Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win
1
%
$19 vol
4 markets
Georgia Elections
Georgia Governor-Senate combo
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win
1
%
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Mike Collins win
1
%
$12 vol
4 markets
Mixed Combos
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
Governor
2
%
Senate
2
%
$27 vol
9 markets
Florida Elections
Florida Governor-Senate combo
David Jolly and Angie Nixon win
0
%
David Jolly and Ashley Moody win
0
%
$0 vol
4 markets
California
LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo
Karen Bass and Tom Steyer
1
%
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
1
%
$27 vol
9 markets
Senate
Blue tsunami next year?
Yes
90
%
No
10
%
$14 vol
1 market
