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Elections

All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Peru
Referendums
Senate

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

D-House, D-Senate
2.01x
D-House, R-Senate
2.59x
$1,509,846 vol4 markets
Mixed Combos

Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
House

2026: Trump’s dream year?

Yes
--
No
--
$207 vol1 market
House

2026: Trump’s nightmare case?

Yes
4.73x
No
--
$48 vol1 market
US Elections

Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Senate

Red wave this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
Senate

Ohio Governor-Senate combo

Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win
--
Amy Acton and Jon Husted win
--
$4 vol4 markets
Senate

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep
--
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
--
$4 vol4 markets
Mixed Combos

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress this year?

At least 25
1.03x
At least 50
1.03x
$121,688 vol10 markets
Senate

Minnesota Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep
--
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
--
$4 vol4 markets
Senate

Maine Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep
--
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
--
$12 vol4 markets
Senate

Kansas Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep
--
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
--
$12 vol4 markets
Senate

Iowa Governor-Senate combo

Rob Sand and Josh Turek win
2.98x
Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win
--
$12 vol4 markets
Senate

How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year?

Above 5
--
0
--
$21 vol7 markets
Senate

How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)

At least 1
--
At least 2
--
$24 vol8 markets
Senate

Georgia Governor-Senate combo

Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win
--
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Mike Collins win
--
$12 vol4 markets
US Elections

Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?

Governor
--
Senate
--
$27 vol9 markets
California

LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo

Karen Bass and Tom Steyer
--
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
--
$27 vol9 markets
Senate

Blue wave next year?

Yes
--
No
--
$3 vol1 market
Senate

Blue tsunami next year?

Yes
--
No
--
$14 vol1 market
Senate

Iowa Blue Wave Combo

Yes
--
No
--
$3 vol1 market
Senate

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)

Yes
--
No
--
$3 vol1 market
Senate

Alaska Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep
2.81x
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
--
$12 vol4 markets