2026 NFL MVP Odds
Live odds for the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award, read from Kalshi's MVP market. 20 contenders are level at the top on 99%, from a field of 49 priced contenders. The AP announces the winner at NFL Honors, the week of Super Bowl LXI.
Live marketUpdated today at 9:02 PM ET
Where these odds come from: Each figure is the market price of that contender’s contract — the mid-market quote where the book is tight, otherwise the last trade. Prices are not a forecast from Kalshi; they are what traders are paying.
Biggest 7-day rise+98ppAshton Jeanty, 1% → 99%
Contenders priced49One contract per player
2025 MVPMatthew StaffordLast season’s winner
MVP oddsTop 20 of 49 priced contenders. 7d is the move in percentage points over the last seven days.
2026 NFL MVP odds, best price first
| Contender | Odds | 7d | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|
A.J. Brown | 99% | +1pp | Trade |
Ashton Jeanty | 99% | +98pp | Trade |
Bijan Robinson | 99% | +2pp | Trade |
Bo Nix | 99% | +2pp | Trade |
Bryce Young | 99% | +95pp | Trade |
Cam Ward | 99% | +1pp | Trade |
CeeDee Lamb | 99% | 0pp | Trade |
Christian McCaffrey | 99% | +2pp | Trade |
Dak Prescott | 99% | +2pp | Trade |
Daniel Jones | 99% | +1pp | Trade |
Derrick Henry | 99% | +2pp | Trade |
Ja'Marr Chase | 99% | 0pp | Trade |
Jalen Hurts | 99% | +1pp | Trade |
Jayden Daniels | 99% | 0pp | Trade |
JJ McCarthy | 99% | 0pp | Trade |
Josh Jacobs | 99% | +97pp | Trade |
Justin Herbert | 99% | +2pp | Trade |
Kenneth Walker | 99% | +97pp | Trade |
Kirk Cousins | 99% | -- | Trade |
Kyler Murray | 99% | +1pp | Trade |
Last seven daysAshton Jeanty gained the most, up 98 points to 99%. 15 contenders on the board gained a point or more over the last seven days and zero lost one or more.
NFL MVP odds movers this week
Rising
- Ashton Jeanty1% → 99%+98pp
- Josh Jacobs2% → 99%+97pp
- Kenneth Walker2% → 99%+97pp
- Bryce Young4% → 99%+95pp
- Bijan Robinson97% → 99%+2pp
The award
About the NFL MVP
The NFL Most Valuable Player award is the Associated Press's, voted on by a national panel of media members. Only the regular season counts — ballots are cast before the playoffs — and the winner is announced at NFL Honors, the week of the Super Bowl. For the 2026 season that is the week of Super Bowl LXI.Each Kalshi contract resolves Yes if its player wins the AP's regular-season MVP award. Any player in the league is eligible, and the market lists a separate contract for each contender it is pricing — 49 on this book.Matthew Stafford won the 2025 NFL MVP award.
Method
How Kalshi's MVP odds work
Every figure here is a live Kalshi market price. A contract on the 2026 NFL MVP pays out at 100¢ if that player wins the award and nothing if he does not, so its price in cents reads directly as the market's implied chance in percent.Each of the 49 contracts is priced on its own order book — the middle of the book where it is tight, the last trade where it is wide — and nothing is scaled, so the column can add up to a little either side of 100%. The board is ordered by the exact price, so two contenders a fraction of a point apart keep their places between refreshes.The 7d column is the move in percentage points since the same time last week. Award prices move most on results, injuries and the weekly highlight reel; they are market prices, not a forecast by Kalshi.The board shows the top 20. The 29 left off are longshots at or near a cent; every one of them is on the market page.
FAQ
NFL MVP odds questions
Who is the favorite to win the 2026 NFL MVP?
20 contenders are level at the top of the board on 99% on Kalshi. Those are market prices, not a Kalshi forecast, and they move with every trade.
Who won the last NFL MVP?
Matthew Stafford won the 2025 NFL MVP award.
Whose MVP odds moved the most this week?
Ashton Jeanty rose the most over the last seven days, from 1% to 99%.
When is the NFL MVP announced?
At NFL Honors, the awards show held the week of the Super Bowl. For the 2026 season that is the week of Super Bowl LXI. Only the regular season counts toward the vote.
How are Kalshi’s NFL MVP odds calculated?
They are market prices. Each contender has a contract that pays $1 if he wins the award, so what traders pay for it reads directly as an implied percentage. Where the bid and ask are close the page shows the midpoint; otherwise it shows the last trade.
Can you trade on the NFL MVP on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi's MVP market lists a Yes/No contract on each of the 49 contenders it prices. A Yes contract pays $1 if that player wins the award; a No contract pays $1 if he doesn't. Trading on the market involves risk.