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  5. MVP Odds

NBA MVP Odds 2026-27

Kalshi's market-implied odds for the 2026-27 NBA Most Valuable Player award. Deni Avdija leads at 90%, from a field of 53 priced contenders.
Live marketUpdated today at 9:02 PM ET
Where these numbers come from: Each figure is the market price of that contender’s contract — the mid-market quote where the book is tight, otherwise the last trade. Prices are not a forecast from Kalshi; they are what traders are paying.
MVP ODDS

2026-27 NBA MVP odds, best price first

Top 20 of 53 priced contenders.
2026-27 NBA MVP odds, best price first
ContenderOdds7dTrade
1Deni Avdija
90%0ppTrade
2Luka Doncic
42%+20ppYes 43¢
3Victor Wembanyama
29%−5ppYes 30¢
4Anthony Edwards
14%0ppTrade
5Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
11%−5ppYes 11¢
6Jayson Tatum
5%−4ppYes 5¢
7Nikola Jokić
5%−2ppYes 5¢
8Jaylen Brown
4%0ppTrade
9Tyrese Maxey
4%0ppTrade
10Cooper Flagg
3%0ppTrade
11Jalen Brunson
3%0ppTrade
12LeBron James
3%0ppTrade
13Alperen Sengun
2%0ppTrade
14Amen Thompson
2%0ppTrade
15Anthony Davis
2%0ppTrade
16Austin Reaves
2%0ppTrade
17Chet Holmgren
2%0ppTrade
18Derrick White
2%0ppTrade
19Devin Booker
2%0ppTrade
20Donovan Mitchell
2%0ppTrade
METHOD

How these odds work

Every figure here is a live Kalshi market price. A contract on the 2026-27 NBA Most Valuable Player pays out at 100¢ if that contender wins the award and nothing if they do not, so its price in cents reads directly as the market's implied chance in percent.

The award is open to any player in the league, and the board does not normalise anything: each of the 53 contracts is priced independently, and the figures are not all the same kind of observation — a tight book shows its midpoint, a wide one the last trade. So the column can sum a little either side of 100%. The gap is what independent pricing leaves behind, not a fee and not the cost of buying the field.

53 contenders carry a price and the board shows the top 20. The 33 left off are longshots trading near a cent; every one of them is on the market page linked above.

FAQ

Questions

Who is favourite for the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
Deni Avdija leads at 90% on Kalshi. That is the market price of their contract, not a Kalshi forecast — it moves whenever traders disagree with it.
How are these NBA MVP odds calculated?
They are not calculated — they are prices. Each contender has a contract that pays 100¢ if they win, so what traders pay for it reads directly as an implied percentage. Where the bid and ask are close the page shows the midpoint; otherwise it shows the last trade.
Who is eligible for the NBA MVP?
The award is open to any player in the league. Kalshi lists a separate contract for each contender the market is pricing, which is why the board runs to 53 names.
MORE

Related pages

NBA MVP WinnerNBA Rookie of the Year oddsNBA championship oddsNBA markets
NBA MVP market

NBA MVP Winner

Buy Yes if you think the team wins it. Buy No if you think it won't.
  • Luka Doncic42%
    Yes 43¢No 59¢
  • Victor Wembanyama29%
    Yes 30¢No 72¢
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander11%
    Yes 11¢No 90¢
  • Jayson Tatum5%
    Yes 5¢No 96¢
  • Nikola Jokić5%
    Yes 5¢No 96¢
See all 53 markets