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Employment

Employment

Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.4% this quarter?

Yes
2.29x
No
1.25x
$5,186 vol1 market
Employment

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

Above 5%
5.25x
Above 10%
1.03x
$3,672 vol10 markets
Employment

Jobs numbers in July?

Above 40,000
1.86x
Above 50,000
2.05x
$47 vol13 markets
Employment

UK unemployment rate in February 2026

Above 4.7%
1.03x
Above 4.8%
--
$0 vol10 markets
Employment

Japan unemployment rate in February 2026

Above 2.1%
--
Above 2.2%
--
$0 vol10 markets
Employment

Canada unemployment rate in February 2026

Above 6.8%
1.03x
Above 6.9%
1.03x
$0 vol10 markets
Employment

Brazil unemployment rate in February 2026

Above 5.5%
1.40x
Above 4.7%
--
$0 vol10 markets
Employment

Russia unemployment rate in February 2026

Above 2.2%
--
Above 1.8%
--
$0 vol10 markets
Employment

Mexico unemployment rate in February 2026

Above 2.4%
--
Above 2.6%
--
$0 vol10 markets
Employment

China unemployment rate in February 2026

Above 4.6%
--
Above 4.7%
--
$0 vol10 markets
Employment

Australia unemployment rate in February 2026

Above 3.7%
1.03x
Above 3.8%
1.03x
$0 vol10 markets
Employment

India unemployment rate in February 2026

Above 4.3%
--
Above 4.4%
--
$0 vol10 markets
Employment

Germany unemployment rate in March 2026

Above 5.8%
--
Above 5.9%
--
$0 vol10 markets
Employment

Australia unemployment rate in March, 2026

Above 3.5%
--
Above 3.6%
--
$0 vol10 markets
Employment

France unemployment rate this quarter?

Above 8.1%
1.03x
Above 7.2%
--
$0 vol10 markets
Employment

Unemployment in March 2026

Above 4.9%
--
Above 4.2%
--
$0 vol10 markets
Employment

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

Yes
1.31x
No
3.18x
$158,900 vol1 market
Employment

Initial jobless claims for the week ending March 14, 2026

At least 190000
--
At least 195000
--
$0 vol10 markets
Employment

How many government employees will Trump cut?

More than 100,000
1.03x
More than 350,000
1.03x
$0 vol7 markets
Employment

Unemployment rate in March?

Exactly 3.3%
1.02x
Exactly 4.2%
1.02x
$0 vol23 markets
Employment

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Overheating
--
Slack / disinflation
--
$0 vol4 markets
Employment

ADP employment change this month?

Above 0
1.03x
Above -25000
1.03x
$3 vol7 markets