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Growth
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Oil and energy

Growth

Growth

Will the national debt hit $40 trillion during the Trump Administration?

$45 trillion
1.40x
$50 trillion
3.40x
$52,190 vol3 markets
Growth

Which countries will have a recession?

India
1.93x
China
2.59x
$72,682 vol4 markets
Growth

Who will be the world's first trillionaire?

Elon Musk
Elon Musk
1.02x
Jensen Huang
Jensen Huang
1.02x
$225,083 vol11 markets
Growth

US trade deficit for 2026?

105‎ billion to 119.5‎ billion
--
120‎ billion to 139.9‎ billion
--
$0 vol11 markets
Growth

Who will be CNBC's number 1 US State for Business this year?

Texas
1.03x
Florida
--
$0 vol10 markets
Growth

Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world?

Elon Musk
--
Jeff Bezos
--
$0 vol9 markets
Growth

Tech layoffs up in January 2026?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Growth

US tariff revenue for 2026

Above $100‎ billion
--
Above $125‎ billion
--
$0 vol6 markets
Growth

Recession this year?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.18x
$22,342 vol1 market
Growth

Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Growth

How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?

At least 8
1.03x
At least 3
1.03x
$84,730 vol4 markets
Growth

Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029?

Yes
--
No
93.5x
$10,583 vol1 market
Growth

Will Kai Cenat become a billionaire before 2030?

Yes
1.40x
No
1.03x
$126 vol1 market
Growth

When will the next U.S. recession start?

Q1 2025
1.03x
Q1 2026
1.03x
$72,528 vol6 markets
Growth

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

More than $1 trillion
--
More than $1.1 trillion
--
$0 vol6 markets
Growth

When will Elon Musk become a trillionaire?

Before 2027
1.25x
Before 2029
1.04x
$162,004 vol4 markets
Growth

ISM Manufacturing PMI in March 2026

At least 48
--
At least 49
--
$0 vol8 markets
Growth

Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Growth

U.S. imports from Iran >$5M this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Growth

Will Trump reduce inequality in the US?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.18x
$13,653 vol1 market
Growth

Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.18x
$20,566 vol1 market
Growth

Government spending increase this year

At least $1 trillion
1.03x
At least $100 billion
1.03x
$0 vol9 markets
Growth

How much of government spending will Trump and Elon cut before 2027?

At least 1 trillion
93.5x
At least 2 trillion
--
$64,054 vol5 markets
Growth

GDP growth in 2026?

0.1 to 0.5
--
0.6 to 1.0
--
$0 vol14 markets