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Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
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Inflation

Inflation

CPI month-over-month in June?

Exactly -0.1%
3.96x
Exactly 0.2%
1.03x
$56,865 vol9 markets
Inflation

How much will core PCE increase in February 2026?

Above 0.1%
1.02x
Above 0.2%
1.02x
$0 vol5 markets
Inflation

How high will inflation get this year?

At least 3%
--
At least 3.5%
--
$0 vol5 markets
Inflation

How high will CPI get this year?

above 3.0%
--
above 3.1%
--
$0 vol6 markets
Inflation

How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?

Above $550
--
Above $575
--
$0 vol7 markets
Inflation

Egg prices up in March 2026?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Inflation

CPI year-over-year in March?

Exactly 2.0%
--
Exactly 2.1%
--
$0 vol16 markets
Inflation

CPI core month-over-month in March?

Exactly 0.2%
1.02x
Exactly -0.1%
--
$0 vol18 markets
Inflation

CPI core year-over-year in March?

Exactly 2.9%
1.02x
Exactly 2.2%
--
$0 vol16 markets
Employment

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Overheating
--
Slack / disinflation
--
$0 vol4 markets
Inflation

Inflation in March (CPI YoY)

Above 2.9%
--
Above 1.8%
--
$0 vol23 markets
Inflation

Core inflation in March (Core CPI YoY)

Above 1.9%
--
Above 2.0%
--
$0 vol22 markets
Inflation

Test Event

Yes
1.93x
No
1.06x
$52 vol1 market
Inflation

CPI core in March 2026

Above 0.0%
--
Above 0.1%
--
$0 vol8 markets
Inflation

CPI in March

Above 0.0%
2.01x
Above 0.5%
2.01x
$21 vol12 markets
Inflation

Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in December?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market