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Economics

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Fed

All markets
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Econ Weekly
Fed
GDP
Global Central Banks
Growth
Housing
Inflation
Interest rates
International
Jobs & Economy
Oil and energy
Hub
Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts
1.13x
Exactly 1 cut
10.4x
$29,335,806 vol21 markets
Fed

Fed funds rate at end of 2027

Above 1.50%
1.07x
Above 3.00%
1.25x
$73 vol21 markets
US FED

Fed decision in September?

Fed maintains rate
1.44x
Hike 25bps
2.98x
$12,309,421 vol5 markets
Fed

Will rates hit zero this year?

Yes
--
No
1.01x
$4 vol1 market
Economics

Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?

Before Jan 1, 2029
--
Before Jan 1, 2027
--
$5 vol5 markets
Fed

UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026

Above 3.20%
--
Above 3.30%
--
$16 vol16 markets
Fed

S&P 500 move on Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech day?

At least 0.50%
--
At least 0.75%
--
$0 vol11 markets
Fed

SOFR up or down for August 24, 2026?

Yes
--
No
46.8x
$0 vol1 market
Fed

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Yes
--
No
1.01x
$57 vol1 market
Economics

Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

David Altig
--
Michael Faulkender
--
$5 vol5 markets
Fed

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Yes
--
No
1.20x
$24 vol1 market
US FED

How many dissenting votes at the September Fed meeting?

5
--
0
--
$15 vol6 markets
Economics

Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Reserve President Rejected
9.41x
Reserve President Removed
13.4x
$44 vol5 markets
Fed

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?

Yes
--
No
--
$3 vol1 market
Economics

Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
US FED

Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting?

Anna Paulson
--
Beth Hammack
--
$36 vol12 markets
US FED

September 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents

Rate: No change, Dissents: 0
--
Rate: No change, Dissents: >0
--
$18 vol6 markets
Fed

Number of Fed rate changes before 2027

Exactly 0
--
Exactly 1
--
$41 vol13 markets
US FED

Fed funds rate after September meeting?

Above 3.25%
1.04x
Above 3.00%
1.03x
$223 vol11 markets
Fed

Number of emergency rate cuts this year?

0 cuts
--
1 cuts
--
$15 vol5 markets
Fed

Will the Fed publish a dot plot in September 2026?

Yes
1.16x
No
--
$3 vol1 market
Fed

Fed median dot plot in September 2026

Above 3.3%
--
Above 3.4%
--
$36 vol12 markets
Fed

SOFR at end of Q3 2026

Above 3.25%
--
Above 3.75%
--
$9 vol4 markets
Fed

Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026

Above $7.2 trillion
--
6.2 trillion
--
$37 vol12 markets