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All markets
CEOs
Elon Musk
IPOs
KPIs
Layoffs
Product launches

Companies

Elon Musk

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2026?

Yes
4.31x
No
1.15x
$14,637 vol1 market
CEOs

Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.18x
$19,779 vol1 market
Elon Musk

Starship manned mission to Mars launched before 2030?

Yes
1.09x
No
1.16x
$15,050 vol1 market
AI

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.18x
$35,128 vol1 market
Product launches

Will xAI release a video game before 2027?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.18x
$88 vol1 market
Elon Musk

X re-launches Vine this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Companies

Which companies will the US take a stake in before 2027?

Boeing
Boeing
1.02x
GlobalFoundries
1.02x
$0 vol17 markets
Companies

Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN?

Michelle Bachelet
Michelle Bachelet
1.02x
Alicia Bárcena
--
$0 vol7 markets
KPIs

Uber Trips in Q1?

above 3.8 billion
--
above 4.0 billion
--
$0 vol6 markets
Culture

Winds of Winter release date announced this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
KPIs

How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce next year?

above 5000
1.03x
above 0
1.03x
$2 vol7 markets
Elon Musk

Tesla Roadsters delivered this year?

Yes
3.96x
No
1.16x
$0 vol1 market
Elon Musk

Tesla production this quarter?

Above 360000
1.04x
Above 380000
1.04x
$10 vol7 markets
Companies

How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?

Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
1.03x
Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
1.03x
$71,442 vol4 markets
Companies

How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027?

Above 1000000 in a single quarter
93.5x
Above 750000 in a single quarter
93.5x
$81,228 vol5 markets
Product launches

Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.18x
$24,163 vol1 market
Elon Musk

Tesla deliveries this quarter?

340000 or more
1.03x
290000 or more
--
$0 vol12 markets
Companies

Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?

None before July 2027
1.02x
Netflix
1.01x
$25,893 vol3 markets
Companies

Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average?

3.72 million
1.03x
3.95 million
--
$0 vol4 markets
IPOs

When will Stripe officially announce an IPO?

Before Nov 1, 2026
1.03x
Before Apr 1, 2026
--
$1,929 vol15 markets
Companies

How much will the Steam Machine cost?

At least $1000
--
At least $1100
--
$0 vol9 markets
KPIs

Spotify Monthly Active Users in Q1?

above 770 Million
1.03x
above 780 Million
1.03x
$100 vol5 markets
Elon Musk

SpaceX Starship 12th launch?

Before May 01
1.52x
Before April 01
1.02x
$13 vol3 markets
Elon Musk

How many launches will SpaceX have in March?

Above 13
--
Above 10
--
$0 vol7 markets