NBA Playoff Odds 2026-27
Kalshi's market-implied chance of each NBA team reaching the 2026-27 playoffs. Washington Wizards lead the Eastern Conference board at 90%, across all 30 teams.
Live marketUpdated today at 9:31 PM ET
Where these numbers come from: Each figure is the market price of that club’s contract — the mid-market quote where the book is tight, otherwise the last trade. Prices are not a forecast from Kalshi; they are what traders are paying. Records come from the league and are shown for context, not used to price anything.
EASTERN CONFERENCE
2026-27 Eastern Conference playoff odds
| Team | W-L | Odds | 7d | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH Wizards | 0-0 | 90% | 0pp | Trade |
| ATL Hawks | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| BOS Celtics | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| BKN Nets | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| CHA Hornets | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| CHI Bulls | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| CLE Cavaliers | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| DET Pistons | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| IND Pacers | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| MIA Heat | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| MIL Bucks | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| NY Knicks | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| ORL Magic | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| PHI 76ers | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| TOR Raptors | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
WESTERN CONFERENCE
2026-27 Western Conference playoff odds
| Team | W-L | Odds | 7d | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL Mavericks | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| DEN Nuggets | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| GS Warriors | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| HOU Rockets | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| LAC Clippers | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| LAL Lakers | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| MEM Grizzlies | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| MIN Timberwolves | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| NO Pelicans | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| OKC Thunder | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| PHX Suns | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| POR Trail Blazers | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| SAC Kings | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| SA Spurs | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
| UTA Jazz | 0-0 | 2% | 0pp | Trade |
METHOD
How these odds work
Every figure here is a live Kalshi market price. A contract on a club to reach the playoffs pays out at 100¢ if it does and nothing if it does not, so its price in cents reads directly as the market's implied chance in percent.
8 clubs reach the playoffs from each conference. The top 6 qualify outright on record; the last two come out of the play-in tournament, so a club can finish as low as 10th and still get there.
Each board is ordered by that price, using the exact quote rather than the rounded figure printed in the column — two clubs a hundredth of a point apart would otherwise swap places between refreshes.
FAQ
Questions
Which teams are most likely to make the 2026-27 NBA playoffs?
Washington Wizards lead the East at 90% and 15 clubs are level at the top of the West on 2%. Those are market prices on Kalshi, not Kalshi forecasts.
How many NBA teams make the playoffs?
Sixteen — 8 from each conference. The top 6 in each qualify directly on record, and the remaining two places are decided by the play-in tournament among the clubs finishing 7th to 10th.
How are these NBA playoff odds calculated?
They are not calculated — they are prices. Each club has a contract that pays 100¢ if it happens, so what traders pay for it reads directly as an implied percentage. Where the bid and ask are close the page shows the midpoint; otherwise it shows the last trade.
TEAMS
Every NBA team
- Atlanta Hawks
- Boston Celtics
- Brooklyn Nets
- Charlotte Hornets
- Chicago Bulls
- Cleveland Cavaliers
- Dallas Mavericks
- Denver Nuggets
- Detroit Pistons
- Golden State Warriors
- Houston Rockets
- Indiana Pacers
- Los Angeles Clippers
- Los Angeles Lakers
- Memphis Grizzlies
- Miami Heat
- Milwaukee Bucks
- Minnesota Timberwolves
- New Orleans Pelicans
- New York Knicks
- Oklahoma City Thunder
- Orlando Magic
- Philadelphia 76ers
- Phoenix Suns
- Portland Trail Blazers
- Sacramento Kings
- San Antonio Spurs
- Toronto Raptors
- Utah Jazz
- Washington Wizards