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  5. Play-In Tournament

NBA Play-In Tournament Odds 2026-27

Kalshi's market-implied chance of each NBA team reaching the 2026-27 play-in tournament — the four-team bracket in each conference that decides the seventh and eighth playoff places. Washington Wizards lead the Eastern Conference board at 90%, across all 30 teams.
Live marketUpdated today at 10:09 PM ET
Where these numbers come from: Each figure is the market price of that club’s contract — the mid-market quote where the book is tight, otherwise the last trade. Prices are not a forecast from Kalshi; they are what traders are paying. Records come from the league and are shown for context, not used to price anything.
EASTERN CONFERENCE

2026-27 Eastern Conference play-in odds

2026-27 Eastern Conference play-in odds
TeamW-LOdds7dTrade
1WSH Wizards0-090%0ppTrade
2ATL Hawks0-02%0ppTrade
3BOS Celtics0-02%0ppTrade
4BKN Nets0-02%0ppTrade
5CHA Hornets0-02%0ppTrade
6CHI Bulls0-02%0ppTrade
7CLE Cavaliers0-02%0ppTrade
8DET Pistons0-02%0ppTrade
9IND Pacers0-02%0ppTrade
10MIA Heat0-02%0ppTrade
11MIL Bucks0-02%0ppTrade
12NY Knicks0-02%0ppTrade
13ORL Magic0-02%0ppTrade
14PHI 76ers0-02%0ppTrade
15TOR Raptors0-02%0ppTrade
WESTERN CONFERENCE

2026-27 Western Conference play-in odds

2026-27 Western Conference play-in odds
TeamW-LOdds7dTrade
1UTA Jazz0-090%0ppTrade
2DAL Mavericks0-02%0ppTrade
3DEN Nuggets0-02%0ppTrade
4GS Warriors0-02%0ppTrade
5HOU Rockets0-02%0ppTrade
6LAC Clippers0-02%0ppTrade
7LAL Lakers0-02%0ppTrade
8MEM Grizzlies0-02%0ppTrade
9MIN Timberwolves0-02%0ppTrade
10NO Pelicans0-02%0ppTrade
11OKC Thunder0-02%0ppTrade
12PHX Suns0-02%0ppTrade
13POR Trail Blazers0-02%0ppTrade
14SAC Kings0-02%0ppTrade
15SA Spurs0-02%0ppTrade
METHOD

How these odds work

Every figure here is a live Kalshi market price. A contract on a club to reach the play-in tournament pays out at 100¢ if it does and nothing if it does not, so its price in cents reads directly as the market's implied chance in percent.

The play-in is contested by the clubs finishing 7th through 10th in each conference. Seeds 7 and 8 need one win to reach the playoffs; seeds 9 and 10 need two. It is NBA-native — no other major league has an equivalent.

Each board is ordered by that price, using the exact quote rather than the rounded figure printed in the column — two clubs a hundredth of a point apart would otherwise swap places between refreshes.

FAQ

Questions

Which teams are most likely to reach the 2026-27 NBA play-in?
Washington Wizards lead the East at 90% and Utah Jazz lead the West at 90%. Those are market prices on Kalshi, not Kalshi forecasts.
How does the NBA play-in tournament work?
The clubs finishing 7th through 10th in each conference play off for the last two playoff places. 7 hosts 8, and the winner takes the 7 seed. 9 hosts 10, the loser is eliminated, and the winner plays the loser of 7-v-8 for the 8 seed.
How are these NBA play-in odds calculated?
They are not calculated — they are prices. Each club has a contract that pays 100¢ if it happens, so what traders pay for it reads directly as an implied percentage. Where the bid and ask are close the page shows the midpoint; otherwise it shows the last trade.
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Related pages

NBA playoff oddsNBA power rankingsNBA championship oddsNBA markets
TEAMS

Every NBA team

  • Atlanta Hawks
  • Boston Celtics
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  • Orlando Magic
  • Philadelphia 76ers
  • Phoenix Suns
  • Portland Trail Blazers
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  • San Antonio Spurs
  • Toronto Raptors
  • Utah Jazz
  • Washington Wizards