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Economics

MentionsFinanceTech & Science

Economics

All markets
Econ Daily
Econ Weekly
Fed
GDP
Global Central Banks
Growth
Housing
Inflation
Interest rates
International
Jobs & Economy
Oil and energy
Hub
Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts
1.14x
Exactly 1 cut
8.56x
$30,290,533 vol21 markets
Fed

Fed funds rate at end of 2027

Above 1.50%
1.07x
Above 3.00%
1.25x
$73 vol21 markets
Jobs & Economy

Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026

Above 260,000 jobs
1.83x
Above 255,000 jobs
1.13x
$62,893 vol10 markets
Inflation

US headline CPI inflation in December 2027

Above 2.0%
2.81x
Above 0.0%
--
$13 vol13 markets
Jobs & Economy

Jobs numbers this month?

Above 50,000
1.76x
Above 60,000
2.09x
$18,668,368 vol13 markets
US FED

Fed decision in September?

Fed maintains rate
1.44x
Hike 25bps
2.98x
$12,310,350 vol5 markets
Jobs & Economy

Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?

Yes
1.36x
No
1.40x
$2,122,027 vol1 market
Jobs & Economy

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

Above 12%
--
Above 15%
--
$4,867 vol14 markets
Economics

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

Yes
--
No
1.10x
$9,326,553 vol1 market
Growth

Which countries will have a recession?

India
1.76x
Japan
1.76x
$504,852 vol4 markets
Fed

Will rates hit zero this year?

Yes
--
No
1.01x
$4 vol1 market
Jobs & Economy

Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$3 vol1 market
Jobs & Economy

Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Finance

X Money APY at end of 2026

4.00% or above
--
4.50% or above
--
$0 vol6 markets
Jobs & Economy

Will Wyoming’s unemployment rate remain below 3.5% this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Oil and energy

Wyoming total coal production this year

Above 180 MMst
--
Above 190 MMst
--
$0 vol8 markets
Growth

Will West Virginia’s population grow this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Oil and energy

West Virginia total coal production this year

Above 72 million short tons
--
Above 74 million short tons
--
$0 vol7 markets
Growth

Wisconsin total milk production this year

Above 32.75 billion pounds
--
Above 33.00 billion pounds
--
$0 vol5 markets
Jobs & Economy

Wisconsin manufacturing employment average this year

Above 460,000 jobs
4.73x
Above 452,500 jobs
1.16x
$0 vol7 markets
Growth

Wisconsin corn yield this year

Above 164 bu/acre
--
Above 168 bu/acre
--
$0 vol9 markets
Econ Weekly

How many WEF posts on X this week?

15-24
--
25-34
--
$0 vol6 markets
Economics

Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?

Before Jan 1, 2029
--
Before Jan 1, 2027
--
$5 vol5 markets
Jobs & Economy

Average Wall Street bonus this year

Above $200,000
--
Above $225,000
--
$0 vol7 markets