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Product launches

Product launches

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2026?

Yes

4.13x

No

1.15x

$14,638 vol1 market

Product launches

Will xAI release a video game before 2027?

Yes

1.03x

No

1.18x

$88 vol1 market

X re-launches Vine this year?

Yes

--

No

--

Winds of Winter release date announced this year?

Yes

--

No

--

Tesla Roadsters delivered this year?

Yes

3.96x

No

1.16x

Product launches

Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?

Yes

1.03x

No

1.18x

$24,163 vol1 market

SpaceX Starship 12th launch?

Before May 01

1.52x

Before April 01

1.02x

$13 vol3 markets

Tesla robotaxi released to public before 2027?

Yes

--

No

--

PS6 announced this year?

Yes

--

No

46.8x

$20,819 vol1 market

Product launches

New Xbox this year?

Yes

--

No

--

Product launches

Will Sony Pictures Animation release 'KPop Demon Hunters 2" before 2027?

Yes

1.03x

No

1.18x

Product launches

What flavors will JUUL relaunch?

Mango

1.03x

Fruit Medley

1.03x

$32,214 vol6 markets

Product launches

Will Dodge release a new Hellcat before 2027?

Yes

93.5x

No

--

$5,731 vol1 market

Product launches

Will BMW release a Fully Electric M3 before 2028?

Yes

--

No

--

Product launches

Will Rolex release a new collection this year?

Yes

--

No

93.5x

Product launches

Will Rolex release a new reference in titanium this year?

Yes

--

No

--

Product launches

Will Rolex release a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel this year?

Yes

--

No

--

Product launches

Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year?

Yes

--

No

--

Product launches

When will any company achieve AGI?

Before Jan 1, 2028

1.40x

Before Jan 1, 2031

2.24x

$41 vol13 markets

Product launches

When will Apple announce foldable iPhone?

Yes

1.02x

No

1.18x

$29,894 vol1 market