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Product launches

Elon Musk

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2026?

Yes

4.31x

No

1.14x

$14,637 vol1 market

Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Yes

1.03x

No

1.16x

$19,779 vol1 market

Starship manned mission to Mars launched before 2030?

Yes

1.09x

No

1.15x

$15,050 vol1 market

X re-launches Vine this year?

Yes

--

No

--

Tesla Roadsters delivered this year?

Yes

3.96x

No

1.15x

Tesla production this quarter?

Above 360000

1.04x

Above 380000

1.04x

$10 vol7 markets

Tesla deliveries this quarter?

340000 or more

1.03x

290000 or more

--

$0 vol12 markets

SpaceX Starship 12th launch?

Before May 01

1.52x

Before April 01

1.02x

$13 vol3 markets

How many launches will SpaceX have in March?

Above 13

--

Above 10

--

$0 vol7 markets

Tesla robotaxi released to public before 2027?

Yes

--

No

--

EV market share in 2030?

Above 30%

1.79x

Above 50%

1.03x

$73,393 vol4 markets