Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive14AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE14
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
Series Image
  1. House

CA-23 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
452
Low volume
Chance
Republican party
99%

Republican party

99%
Democratic party
<1%

Democratic party

<1%

People are also trading
Series Image
Alaska House winner?
Series Image
AZ-02 House winner?
Series Image
ME-02 House winner?
Series Image
California's 23rd District margin of victory
Series Image
California 23 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
NC-03 House winner?
Series Image
CA-23 House election: Jay Obernolte vote percent
Series Image
CA-23 House election: Tessa Lynn Hodge vote percent
Series Image
DC-AL House winner?
Series Image
FL-07 House winner?
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
CA-23 House winner?
Republican party

Republican party

Odds
0% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Democratic
Nov 3
Republican
$502 vol
Race Intel

CA-23 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJay Obernolte (R)Running for re-election

CA-23 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Jay ObernolteRep
    $1.8M
    0.1%
    $1.8M raised·0.1% small donors
  • Tessa Lynn HodgeDem
    $122.5K
    38%
    $122.5K raised·38% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-23 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +19.4%2020R +12.1%

More California and 2026 Midterm Races

More California races

California Governor raceCA-03 House raceCA-49 House raceCA-41 House raceCA-45 House raceCA-47 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 House forecast

Top races

Texas Senate raceMaine Senate raceMichigan Senate raceOhio Senate raceNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaMassachusetts Governor raceKansas Senate raceIowa Senate raceFlorida Governor race

More races

Nebraska Governor race: Democratic vs. RepublicanTennessee Governor raceWyoming Governor raceSouth Dakota Governor raceSouth Carolina Governor race: Wilson vs. JohnsonMinnesota Governor raceColorado Governor raceRhode Island Governor raceArkansas Governor race: Love vs. SandersLouisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. Davis