MARKETS
LIVE
SOCIAL
FAIRNESS
RESEARCH
$0
Log in
Sign up
Trending
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Companies
Financials
Tech & Science
Trending
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Companies
Financials
Tech & Science
2026 US Primary Election Predictions & Odds | Kalshi
All markets
Confirmations
Congress
Culture war
Foreign Elections
House
International
Iran
Local
Primaries
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
US Elections
2026 Primaries
All Midterm Primary Election Markets
Trending
All States
All parties
Governor
Senate
House
Downballot
Cross-State
Elections
MS-02 Republican nominee?
LIVE
Ron Eller
--
0
%
Kevin Wilson
--
0
%
$0 vol
2 markets
Politics
Who will be the Republican nominee for Senate in Texas?
John Cornyn
1.62
x
59
%
Ken Paxton
2.34
x
41
%
$5,760,810 vol
5 markets
Elections
Texas Senate Democratic primary margin of victory?
Talarico, 6-9%
1.07
x
92
%
Talarico, 12-15%
3.80
x
22
%
$2,932,667 vol
11 markets
Elections
Democratic turnout in the Texas Senate primary?
Above 800,000
TBD
Above 900,000
TBD
$0 vol
8 markets
Politics
Texas Senate matchup?
Talarico vs. Cornyn
1.19
x
82
%
Crockett vs. Paxton
4.73
x
20
%
$5,252,655 vol
6 markets
Politics
Texas Senate primary: which counties will Talarico win?
Tarrant
31.2
x
3
%
Harris
1.03
x
57
%
$33,940 vol
7 markets
Politics
Texas Senate primary: Democrats have higher turnout than Republicans?
Yes
1.03
x
98
%
No
1.19
x
2
%
$3,085 vol
1 market
Elections
Republican turnout in the Texas Senate primary?
Above 1,600,000
TBD
Above 1,800,000
TBD
$0 vol
8 markets
Elections
Texas Senate Republican primary margin of victory?
Cornyn, 0-3%
1.07
x
92
%
Paxton, 0-3%
1.03
x
7
%
$13,344 vol
9 markets
Elections
2nd place in first round of Texas Senate Republican primary?
Ken Paxton
1.02
x
56
%
John Cornyn
1.02
x
56
%
$0 vol
3 markets
Elections
TX-33 Democratic nominee?
Colin Allred
1.02
x
68
%
Julie Johnson
1.02
x
50
%
$36,433 vol
3 markets
Elections
Larger margin of victory: Texas Senate Dem or GOP primary?
Democratic primary
--
0
%
Republican primary
--
0
%
$0 vol
2 markets
Politics
Texas Republican Attorney General nominee?
Chip Roy
--
0
%
Aaron Reitz
--
0
%
$0 vol
4 markets
Politics
How many House Republican members will lose their primary this year?
3
1.03
x
57
%
0
--
0
%
$0 vol
8 markets
Elections
Greg Abbott vote percent in the Texas Governor GOP primary?
70% or more
--
0
%
75% or more
--
0
%
$0 vol
6 markets
Elections
3rd place in first round of Texas Senate Republican primary?
Wesley Hunt
1.02
x
56
%
John Cornyn
--
0
%
$0 vol
3 markets
Politics
Democratic Senate primaries combo
Yes
1.04
x
1
%
No
1.18
x
99
%
$5 vol
1 market
Elections
TX-18 Democratic nominee?
Al Green
--
0
%
Christian Menefee
--
0
%
$0 vol
4 markets
Politics
How many House Democrats will lose their primaries this year?
0
--
0
%
1
--
0
%
$0 vol
8 markets
Elections
Texas Senate primary: which counties will Paxton win?
Harris
--
0
%
Travis
--
0
%
$0 vol
8 markets
Elections
Tom Cotton vote percent in the Arkansas Senate GOP primary?
75% or more
--
0
%
80% or more
--
0
%
$0 vol
5 markets
Elections
TX-32 Republican nominee?
Ryan Binkley
--
0
%
Paul Bondar
--
0
%
$0 vol
9 markets
Elections
TX-38 Republican nominee?
Avery Ayers
--
0
%
Jon Bonck
--
0
%
$0 vol
10 markets
Elections
North Carolina Democratic Senate primary: Roy Cooper vote percent?
Less than 75%
--
0
%
75 - 79.99%
--
0
%
$0 vol
6 markets
Politics
Republican Senate primaries combo
Yes
--
99
%
No
93.5
x
1
%
$27 vol
1 market
Politics
Texas Democratic Attorney General nominee?
Joe Jaworski
--
0
%
Nathan Johnson
--
0
%
$0 vol
3 markets
Elections
TX-35 Republican nominee?
Randall Adams
--
0
%
Josh Cortez
--
0
%
$0 vol
11 markets
Elections
TX-16 Republican nominee?
Manuel Barraza
--
0
%
Adam Bauman
--
0
%
$0 vol
7 markets
Elections
North Carolina Republican Senate primary: Michael Whatley vote percent?
Less than 70%
--
0
%
70 - 74.99%
--
0
%
$0 vol
7 markets
Elections
TX-19 Republican nominee?
James Barbee
--
0
%
Jason Corley
--
0
%
$0 vol
7 markets
Elections
TX-33 Republican nominee?
Patrick Gillespie
--
0
%
Payton Jackson
--
0
%
$0 vol
5 markets
Elections
TX-09 Republican nominee?
Jaimy Blanco
--
0
%
Briscoe Cain
--
0
%
$0 vol
9 markets
Elections
TX-07 Republican nominee?
Tina Blum Cohen
--
0
%
Alexander Hale
--
0
%
$0 vol
4 markets
Elections
TX-30 Republican nominee?
Sholdon Daniels
--
0
%
Gregor Heise
--
0
%
$0 vol
4 markets
Elections
TX-24 Democratic nominee?
Jon Buchwald
--
0
%
Kevin Burge
--
0
%
$0 vol
3 markets
Politics
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?
Byron Donalds
1.02
x
99
%
James Fishback
1.03
x
65
%
$94,146 vol
9 markets
Elections
TX-05 Democratic nominee?
Chelsey Hockett
--
0
%
Forrest Lumpkin
--
0
%
$0 vol
3 markets
Elections
TX-17 Democratic nominee?
Milah Flores
--
0
%
James Gordon Mitchell
--
0
%
$0 vol
3 markets
Politics
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Graham Platner
1.26
x
76
%
Janet Mills
4.13
x
22
%
$303,813 vol
7 markets
Elections
TX-37 Republican nominee?
Ge'Neill Gary
1.05
x
57
%
Janet Malzahn
1.05
x
57
%
$0 vol
3 markets
Elections
TX-14 Democratic nominee?
Thurman Bartie
--
0
%
Richard Davis
--
0
%
$0 vol
3 markets
Elections
TX-35 Democratic nominee?
Maureen Galindo
--
0
%
Johnny Garcia
--
0
%
$0 vol
4 markets
Politics
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Ohio?
Heather Hill
1.03
x
10
%
Dave Yost
1.03
x
1
%
$77,696 vol
6 markets
Politics
Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
Amy Klobuchar
1.18
x
85
%
Steve Simon
1.03
x
8
%
$830,767 vol
10 markets
Elections
Who will be the Republican nominee for KY-4?
Thomas Massie
1.03
x
1
%
Nicole Lee Ethington
93.5
x
1
%
$30,131 vol
3 markets
Politics
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Dick Durbin
1.03
x
10
%
Robin Kelly
1.03
x
10
%
$222,968 vol
14 markets
Elections
Who will be the Democratic nominee for IL-9?
Jan Schakowsky
1.03
x
1
%
Kat Abughazaleh
1.03
x
99
%
$59,760 vol
11 markets
Elections
Who will be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?
Micah Lasher
1.03
x
57
%
Erik Bottcher
1.03
x
57
%
$0 vol
18 markets
Politics
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York?
Kathy Hochul
TBD
Ritchie Torres
TBD
$153,405 vol
9 markets
Politics
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
Mallory McMorrow
1.03
x
99
%
Abdul El-Sayed
1.03
x
99
%
$134,856 vol
9 markets
Politics
Who will win California's top-two primary for governor?
Antonio Villaraigosa
1.03
x
1
%
Katie Porter
1.03
x
1
%
$80,050 vol
15 markets
Politics
Who will be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Buddy Carter
1.03
x
46
%
Marjorie Taylor-Greene
1.03
x
99
%
$103,217 vol
9 markets
Politics
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Georgia?
Chris Carr
1.03
x
99
%
Burt Jones
1.03
x
1
%
$58,107 vol
6 markets
Politics
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
Scott Jensen
--
0
%
Kristin Robbins
--
0
%
$0 vol
8 markets
Politics
South Carolina Republican Governor nominee?
Josh Kimbrell
1.03
x
57
%
Nancy Mace
1.03
x
57
%
$0 vol
5 markets
Politics
Kentucky Republican Senate nominee?
Nate Morris
1.03
x
99
%
Andy Barr
1.03
x
99
%
$137,605 vol
7 markets
Politics
Florida Republican Senate nominee?
Ashton Hayward
1.03
x
99
%
Casey DeSantis
1.03
x
99
%
$172,313 vol
10 markets
Politics
New York Republican Governor nominee?
Elise Stefanik
1.03
x
99
%
Bruce Blakeman
1.03
x
1
%
$64,029 vol
4 markets
Politics
Louisiana Republican Senate Nominee
Bill Cassidy
1.03
x
99
%
John Fleming
1.03
x
99
%
$76,298 vol
4 markets
Elections
NY-10 Democratic nominee?
Dan Goldman
1.03
x
57
%
Alexa Avilés
1.03
x
57
%
$0 vol
5 markets
Politics
Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?
Kevin Hern
--
0
%
Josh Brecheen
--
0
%
$0 vol
8 markets
Politics
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
Sara Rodriguez
1.03
x
99
%
Ben Wikler
1.03
x
1
%
$65,069 vol
10 markets
Politics
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?
Kimberly Yee
Yes
Tom Hatten
No
$136,180 vol
10 markets
Politics
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Georgia?
Keisha Lance Bottoms
1.03
x
99
%
Stacey Abrams
1.03
x
10
%
$105,793 vol
9 markets
Politics
Who will advance from California's top-two primary for CA-11?
Scott Wiener
1.52
x
65
%
Nancy Pelosi
1.03
x
57
%
$11 vol
8 markets
Politics
Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?
David Wellstone
1.03
x
99
%
Steve Simon
1.03
x
99
%
$155,937 vol
10 markets
Politics
Who will be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Jared Hudson
TBD
Steve Marshall
TBD
$55,795 vol
7 markets
Politics
Who will be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
John E. Sununu
1.03
x
57
%
Scott Brown
--
67
%
$29,917 vol
4 markets
Politics
California Governor primary advancers? (Party)
2 Democrats
--
0
%
1 Democrat and 1 Republican
--
0
%
$0 vol
3 markets
Elections
NY-07 Democratic nominee?
Antonio Reynoso
--
0
%
Julia Salazar
--
0
%
$0 vol
9 markets
Politics
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
Mike Cox
1.03
x
99
%
Tudor Dixon
1.03
x
99
%
$240,421 vol
15 markets
Politics
Illinois Republican Governor nominee?
Darren Bailey
--
0
%
Ted Dabrowski
--
0
%
$0 vol
5 markets
Politics
South Carolina Republican Senate Nominee
Lindsey Graham
1.03
x
99
%
Paul Dans
1.03
x
57
%
$36,618 vol
4 markets
Politics
Maine Republican Governor nominee?
Jonathan Bush
1.03
x
33
%
Robert Charles
1.03
x
10
%
$260,711 vol
16 markets
Politics
Minnesota Republican Senate Nominee
Royce White
1.03
x
99
%
Julia Coleman
1.03
x
1
%
$41,649 vol
3 markets
Politics
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Iowa?
Mike Bousselot
1.03
x
99
%
Randy Feenstra
1.03
x
99
%
$77,661 vol
5 markets
Politics
Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?
Pete Buttigieg
1.03
x
99
%
Jocelyn Benson
1.03
x
99
%
$158,348 vol
9 markets
Politics
Ohio Democratic Senate nominee?
Sherrod Brown
1.03
x
99
%
Greg Landsman
1.03
x
99
%
$61,786 vol
4 markets
Elections
Who will be the Democratic nominee for NY-8?
Hakeem Jeffries
1.03
x
57
%
Vance Bostic
1.03
x
57
%
$0 vol
3 markets
Politics
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Ohio?
Amy Acton
1.03
x
1
%
Sherrod Brown
1.03
x
43
%
$123,008 vol
8 markets
Politics
Maine Democratic Governor nominee?
Shenna Bellows
1.03
x
99
%
Kenneth Forrest Pinet
1.03
x
99
%
$150,175 vol
10 markets
Elections
Who will be the Republican nominee for GA-14?
Marjorie Taylor Greene
--
0
%
Star Black
--
0
%
$0 vol
7 markets
Politics
CA-40 primary advancers?
Ken Calvert
--
0
%
Young Kim
--
0
%
$0 vol
6 markets
Politics
Ohio Republican Senate nominee?
Frank LaRose
1.03
x
99
%
Matt Dolan
1.03
x
10
%
$235,995 vol
15 markets
Elections
IL-07 Democratic nominee?
Richard Boykin
--
0
%
Kina Collins
--
0
%
$0 vol
13 markets
Politics
Republican nominee for Governor in Oregon?
Christine Drazan
--
0
%
Kyle Duyck
--
0
%
$0 vol
8 markets
Politics
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
Jared Moskowitz
93.5
x
1
%
Charlie Crist
93.5
x
1
%
$31,331 vol
8 markets
Politics
Who will be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Don Tracy
--
51
%
Casey Chlebek
--
51
%
$45,370 vol
5 markets
Elections
IL-08 Democratic nominee?
Junaid Ahmed
--
0
%
Yasmeen Bankole
--
0
%
$0 vol
8 markets
Politics
New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?
Deb Haaland
1.03
x
99
%
Ken Miyagishima
1.03
x
99
%
$63,740 vol
4 markets
Politics
Kansas Democratic Governor nominee?
Cindy Holscher
1.03
x
99
%
Julie Lorenz
1.03
x
99
%
$72,980 vol
4 markets
Politics
Maine Republican Senate nominee?
Susan Collins
1.03
x
1
%
Dan Smeriglio
1.03
x
1
%
$42,640 vol
2 markets
Politics
Massachusetts Democratic Senate Nominee
Alexander Rikleen
1.03
x
99
%
Seth Moulton
1.03
x
57
%
$30,685 vol
4 markets
Politics
Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?
Edna DeVries
93.5
x
1
%
Treg Taylor
93.5
x
1
%
$110,918 vol
14 markets
Politics
Iowa Democratic Senate Nominee
Nathan Sage
--
1
%
J.D. Scholten
93.5
x
1
%
$46,574 vol
4 markets
Politics
Who will win the CA-22 primary?
Chris Mathys
1.03
x
99
%
Randy Villegas
1.03
x
99
%
$73,250 vol
6 markets
Elections
Who will be the Democratic nominee for PA-3?
David Oxman
1.03
x
26
%
Gabriel Caceres
93.5
x
46
%
$53,321 vol
7 markets
Elections
OH-09 Republican nominee?
Derek Merrin
--
0
%
Alea Nadeem
--
0
%
$0 vol
4 markets
Politics
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in New Mexico?
Gregg Hull
1.03
x
99
%
Duke Rodriguez
1.03
x
99
%
$164,090 vol
11 markets
Elections
Who will be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?
Jared Golden
1.03
x
57
%
Matthew Dunlap
1.03
x
57
%
$0 vol
4 markets