Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive31AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE31
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. US Elections

California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)

2


Chance

Yes, ≥1%
<1%

Yes, ≥1%

<1%

Yes, ≥4%
<1%

Yes, ≥4%

<1%

Yes, ≥7%
<1%

Yes, ≥7%

<1%

5 more

People are also trading
Series Image
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Series Image
Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40?
Series Image
Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?
Series Image
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
Series Image
California Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent
Series Image
Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho?
Series Image
Which ballot measures will pass in Rhode Island?
Series Image
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
Series Image
Louisiana: Which House races will be won outright?
Series Image
Which ballot measures will pass in Alaska?
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)

Yes, ≥1%

Odds
0% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
More Elections Markets

More California Proposition 40 margin of victory markets

California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)

Trending Elections markets

Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?Who will win the next presidential election?Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?U.S. House national popular vote margin of victory?Who will win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)NC-03 House winner?

Elections hub

All Elections markets