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  5. Playoff Odds

College Football Playoff Odds 2026

The market-implied chance of every team Kalshi lists to make the College Football Playoff in the 2026-27 season, from Kalshi's 2026 College Football Playoff qualifiers market. Traders give Notre Dame 95%, Miami (FL) 93% and Alabama 93%.
Live marketUpdated today at 9:01 PM ET
Where these odds come from: Each figure is the market price of that team’s contract — the mid-market quote where the book is tight, otherwise the last trade. Prices are not a forecast from Kalshi; they are what traders are paying.
Live market prices

2026 College Football Playoff odds by team

2026 College Football Playoff odds by team
TeamPlayoffs7dTrade
1Notre Dame95%+10ppYes 95¢
2Miami (FL)93%+17ppYes 94¢
3Alabama93%+52ppYes 93¢
4Washington90%0ppTrade
5Indiana87%+12ppYes 88¢
6Utah85%+66ppYes 85¢
7Texas77%+11ppYes 78¢
8UCLA75%--Yes 75¢
9Georgia69%0ppTrade
10Boise St.60%--Yes 61¢
11Wake Forest50%--Yes 51¢
12Tennessee46%+18ppYes 48¢
13Oklahoma39%0ppTrade
14Texas A&M37%0ppTrade
15Ole Miss37%0ppYes 37¢
16Iowa33%+18ppYes 34¢
17LSU32%−22ppYes 33¢
18Oregon29%−12ppYes 30¢
19New Mexico28%--Yes 29¢
20Kentucky27%+19ppYes 28¢
21Texas Tech27%−37ppYes 33¢
22Michigan26%0ppTrade
23BYU23%−2ppYes 23¢
24USC23%+4ppYes 24¢
25Florida22%0ppTrade
26Houston17%+4ppYes 20¢
27TCU15%0ppTrade
28Auburn14%0ppTrade
29Clemson14%0ppTrade
30Ohio St.14%−62ppYes 14¢
31South Carolina13%−3ppYes 13¢
32Virginia12%0ppTrade
33California11%0ppTrade
34Pittsburgh11%0ppTrade
35Virginia Tech11%0ppTrade
36Arizona11%+3ppYes 14¢
37Florida St.8%0ppTrade
38Vanderbilt8%0ppTrade
39SMU8%−11ppYes 9¢
40Mississippi St.7%0ppTrade
41Miami (OH)6%0ppTrade
42North Texas5%+3ppYes 6¢
43Oklahoma St.5%+2ppYes 6¢
44Tulane5%0ppTrade
45Baylor5%0ppYes 6¢
46Arkansas4%0ppTrade
47Louisville4%+1ppYes 5¢
48Missouri4%−15ppYes 4¢
49Georgia Tech3%0ppTrade
50Illinois3%0ppTrade
51Penn St.3%0ppTrade
52James Madison3%−6ppYes 3¢
53Arizona St.2%0ppTrade
54Kansas St.2%0ppTrade
55North Carolina St.2%0ppTrade
56Western Michigan2%0ppTrade
57Northwestern----Trade
58Oregon St.----Trade
59UMass----Trade
60Wisconsin----Trade
Method

How to read these College Football Playoff odds

Every figure here is a live Kalshi price. Each team’s contract pays $1 if it makes the field and nothing if it doesn’t, so its price in cents reads as the percent chance traders give it.Twelve teams make the College Football Playoff, chosen and seeded by its selection committee.The board is ordered by that price, using the exact quote rather than the rounded figure shown, so two teams a hundredth of a point apart don’t swap places between refreshes.Each contract settles under its own market rules, which the market page links. Every row’s last column opens that market.
FAQ

College Football Playoff Odds questions

Which teams are most likely to make the College Football Playoff in the 2026-27 season?
Kalshi traders give Notre Dame 95%, Miami (FL) 93% and Alabama 93% to make the College Football Playoff. Those are market prices, not Kalshi forecasts.
How many teams make the College Football Playoff?
Twelve, chosen and seeded by the College Football Playoff selection committee.
How are these College Football Playoff odds calculated?
They are not calculated — they are prices. Each team’s contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and nothing if it doesn’t, so what traders pay for it reads as a percent chance. Where the bid and ask are close the page shows the midpoint; otherwise it shows the last trade.
Related College Football pages

Continue exploring

The market these odds are read from, and the rest of Kalshi's coverage.
Trade the College Football Playoff Qualifiers marketCollege football national championship oddsCollege football power rankingsUndefeated trackerAll college football markets
College Football Playoff qualifiers market

College Football Playoff Qualifiers

Buy Yes if you think the team makes the playoff. Buy No if you think it won't.
  • Notre Dame95%
    Yes 95¢No 6¢
  • Miami (FL)93%
    Yes 94¢No 8¢
  • Alabama93%
    Yes 93¢No 8¢
  • Washington90%
    YesNo
  • Indiana87%
    Yes 88¢No 14¢
    • Utah85%
      Yes 85¢No 16¢
    • Texas77%
      Yes 78¢No 24¢
    • UCLA75%
      Yes 75¢No 26¢
    • Georgia69%
      YesNo 99¢
    • Boise St.60%
      Yes 61¢No 41¢
    • Wake Forest50%
      Yes 51¢No 52¢
    • Tennessee46%
      Yes 48¢No 56¢
    • Oklahoma39%
      YesNo
    • Texas A&M37%
      YesNo
    • Ole Miss37%
      Yes 37¢No 64¢
    • Iowa33%
      Yes 34¢No 69¢
    • LSU32%
      Yes 33¢No 70¢
    • Oregon29%
      Yes 30¢No 73¢
    • New Mexico28%
      Yes 29¢No 73¢
    • Kentucky27%
      Yes 28¢No 75¢
    • Texas Tech27%
      Yes 33¢No 80¢
    • Michigan26%
      YesNo
    • BYU23%
      Yes 23¢No 78¢
    • USC23%
      Yes 24¢No 79¢
    • Florida22%
      YesNo
    • Houston17%
      Yes 20¢No 87¢
    • TCU15%
      YesNo
    • Auburn14%
      YesNo
    • Clemson14%
      YesNo
    • Ohio St.14%
      Yes 14¢No 87¢
    • South Carolina13%
      Yes 13¢No 88¢
    • Virginia12%
      YesNo
    • California11%
      YesNo
    • Pittsburgh11%
      YesNo
    • Virginia Tech11%
      YesNo
    • Arizona11%
      Yes 14¢No 93¢
    • Florida St.8%
      YesNo
    • Vanderbilt8%
      YesNo
    • SMU8%
      Yes 9¢No 94¢
    • Mississippi St.7%
      YesNo
    • Miami (OH)6%
      YesNo
    • North Texas5%
      Yes 6¢No 96¢
    • Oklahoma St.5%
      Yes 6¢No 96¢
    • Tulane5%
      YesNo
    • Baylor5%
      Yes 6¢No 97¢
    • Arkansas4%
      YesNo
    • Louisville4%
      Yes 5¢No 97¢
    • Missouri4%
      Yes 4¢No 97¢
    • Georgia Tech3%
      YesNo
    • Illinois3%
      YesNo
    • Penn St.3%
      YesNo
    • James Madison3%
      Yes 3¢No 98¢
    • Arizona St.2%
      YesNo
    • Kansas St.2%
      YesNo
    • North Carolina St.2%
      YesNo
    • Western Michigan2%
      YesNo
    • Northwestern--
      YesNo
    • Oregon St.--
      YesNo
    • UMass--
      YesNo
    • Wisconsin--
      YesNo