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Tech & Science

Tech & Science

All markets
AI
Big Tech & Business
Education
Energy
Market Share
Medicine
Physics & Math
Public Health
Space
Tokens
AI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude
1.48x
ChatGPT
7.85x
$1,244,713 vol8 markets
SpaceX

How many launches will SpaceX have in August?

Above 13
5.56x
Above 12
1.12x
$491,115 vol9 markets
Space

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Before Jan 20, 2029
1.93x
Before 2028
5.25x
$38,156,924 vol7 markets
AI

Top AI model in August

claude-opus-5-max
1.48x
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
31.2x
$383 vol5 markets
Industries

NVIDIA H200 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35)

Above $4.50
2.24x
Above $4.00
1.29x
$148 vol21 markets
Tesla

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2026?

Yes
7.85x
No
--
$19,380 vol1 market

Starship manned mission to Mars launched before 2030?

Yes
--
No
1.02x
$17,691 vol1 market
AI

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Yes
--
No
1.01x
$45,681 vol1 market
AI

Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?

Yes
--
No
--
$13,102 vol1 market
Space

NASA lands on the moon?

Before 2028
1.02x
Before 2030
--
$63,490 vol4 markets
AI

Xiaomi market share this week

Above 2.0%
--
Above 2.5%
--
$0 vol6 markets
Big Tech & Business

Where will Waymo operate this year?

Sacramento, CA
3.08x
Washington, DC
--
$11 vol10 markets
AI

Top Text to Video AI this week

Alibaba
--
ByteDance
--
$0 vol10 markets
Biotech

FDA decision: Venglustat by Sanofi (this year)

Yes
1.01x
No
1.01x
$1 vol1 market
Education

US test scores in Reading this year?

No significant difference
1.03x
Significant increase
1.02x
$59,003 vol3 markets
Tech & Science

Will the US lose measles elimination status this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
Tech & Science

Number of US data centers at the end of 2026?

At least 5,300
--
At least 5,400
--
$9 vol17 markets
AI

Most popular AI this week

Anthropic
--
DeepSeek
--
$0 vol8 markets
AI

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Zhipu AI
1.03x
Deepseek
--
$233,890 vol13 markets
Tech & Science

OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 24–30

Above 110T tokens
--
Above 112T tokens
--
$0 vol8 markets
AI

Tencent market share this week

Above 1.5%
--
Above 2.0%
--
$0 vol6 markets
AI

Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)

ChatGPT
--
Claude
--
$9 vol9 markets
Public Health

How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States this year?

Above 7k
1.67x
Above 10k
--
$5 vol5 markets
AI

Stealth market share this week

Above 10.5%
--
Above 12.0%
--
$0 vol9 markets