If the President of the United States pardons Sam Bankman-Fried before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from White House and New York Times.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 9, 2025 · 1:25pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout5 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2026 at 10:00am EST.