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How much of government spending will Trump and Elon cut next year?

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forecast
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FebFebMarAprJun$318,000,000,000B$318,600,000,000B$319,200,000,000B$319,800,000,000B$320,400,000,000B
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Before 2026 (+2)
Chance

At least 250 billion
36%

At least 500 billion
24%

At least 750 billion
12%

6 more markets

Rules summary for
At least 250 billion
If government spending decreases by at least 250 during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FRED.

Timeline and payout

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How much of government spending will Trump and Elon cut next year?
Buy Yes · At least 250 billion
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Contracts0
Average price
36¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0