How much of government spending will Trump and Elon cut next year?
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Before 2026 (+2)
% Chance
At least 250 billion
33%
At least 250 billion
33%
At least 500 billion
22%
At least 500 billion
22%
At least 750 billion
13%
At least 750 billion
13%
2 more markets
Rules summary for
At least 250 billion
If government spending decreases by at least 250 during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FRED.
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How much of government spending will Trump and Elon cut next year?
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