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How much of government spending will Trump and Elon cut next year?
$
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B
forecast
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Feb
Feb
Mar
Apr
Jun
$318,000,000,000B
$318,600,000,000B
$319,200,000,000B
$319,800,000,000B
$320,400,000,000B
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before 2026 (+2)
Chance
At least 250 billion
36%
Yes
36¢
No
68¢
At least 250 billion
36%
Yes
36¢
No
68¢
At least 500 billion
24%
Yes
24¢
No
79¢
At least 500 billion
24%
Yes
24¢
No
79¢
At least 750 billion
12%
Yes
15¢
No
88¢
At least 750 billion
12%
Yes
15¢
No
88¢
6 more markets
Rules summary for
Learn more
At least 250 billion
If government spending decreases by at least 250 during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
FRED
.
View full rules
Market Rules
Timeline and payout
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How much of government spending will Trump and Elon cut next year?
Buy Yes
· At least 250 billion
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side
Yes
36¢
No
68¢
Amount
Contracts
0
Average price
36¢
Payout if
Yes
wins
$0
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$320,400,000,000B