Which Senators will vote for Tulsi Gabbard?

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Before 2026

% Chance

Mitch McConnell

48%

Mitch McConnell

48%

John Curtis

47%

John Curtis

47%

Bernie Sanders

32%

Bernie Sanders

32%

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Rules summary for

Mitch McConnell

If Mitch McConnell votes Yea for Tulsi Gabbard for Director of National Intelligence before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Senate.

Timeline and payout

About

Tulsi Gabbard, a former Democratic congresswoman and Army reservist, has been nominated by President-elect Trump as Director of National Intelligence. Once a Bernie Sanders ally, she left the Democratic Party in 2022 and endorsed Trump in 2024. Gabbard’s anti-interventionist stance has drawn bipartisan criticism for echoing Russian narratives and meeting with Syria’s Bashar al-Assad. Her controversial views are likely to make her Senate confirmation contentious. (Source: The Hill)

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