Which party will win the 2025 NYC Mayor race?

Zohran Mamdani 99%

Curtis Sliwa 15%

ALL

$3,758vol

Chance

Zohran Mamdani

or the Democratic Nominee

99%

Zohran Mamdani

or the Democratic Nominee

99%

Curtis Sliwa

or the Republican Nominee

15%

Curtis Sliwa

or the Republican Nominee

15%

Important information: If Eric Adams wins the mayoral race as the nominee of the Republican or Democratic Party, the Eric Adams market resolves No. This market only resolves Yes if Adams wins specifically as an independent candidate.

Rules summary

Zohran Mamdani

If a representative of Democratic wins the NYC Mayoral election on Nov 4, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Office of the Mayor of New York City.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Market openDec 9, 2024 · 10:34pm EST

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout5 minutes after closing

This market will close following in the swearing in of the Mayor pursuant to the election. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 4, 2026 at 10:00am EST.