Kalshi is the first regulated platform in the US where you can trade on events, just like stocks. Think of it as the NYSE, but for things you relate to, care about, and understand.
2025
% Chance
Before July
15%
Before July
15%
Before October
38%
Before October
38%
Before 2026
42%
Before 2026
42%
2 more markets
Rules summary for
Before 2026
If the price of Bitcoin is above 149999.99 by Dec 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from CF Benchmarks.
The Contract is settled by taking an average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) in any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values. Data is used 24/7 to resolve the contract.